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Sunday, October 7, 2012

The Weekend Newsletter from ShareCrazy stars Malcolm Stacey, the Week Ahead and the latest Crazy Wager

Read Malcolm Stacey, the Book of the Week, the latest Crazy Wager and the Week Ahead
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Sunday 7 October 2012

THAT WAS THE WEEK THAT WAS


Don't Let Falls Get You Down


By Malcolm Stacy

Hello Share Kids,

Let's have a weekend look at a little bit of psychology, which can be a bit discouraging in the share world. And let's try and put things into context to stop us all feeling miserable.

Now you are probably like me. When the Footsie falls on the day, we get depressed. Perhaps not a lot, but enough to take the shine off the world and perhaps plonk us into a bit of a bad mood.

This can also happen if the Footsie is flat on the day. We should be glad that our shares have not lost value. But we hope to be in profit day after day, so even inaction is a downer.


Click here to view the rest of the article


The Week Ahead

Michael Page, Hays, Travis Perkins

Recruiters Hays and Michael Page kick the week off on Monday with interim management statements.

For Michael Page, Peel Hunt thinks trends seen at the interims are unlikely to have changed materially, except perhaps that the slowdown in Asian growth may have accelerated. The outlook will likely remain bleak, the broker reckons.

As for Hays, the same broker say markets are clearly still challenging. "Asian markets, where NFI [net fee income] is weighted towards banking, are weak and European and RoW [Rest of World] markets excluding Germany and Canada have become increasingly tough. Australia is likely to be slowing, as the pause in mining resources activity will likely [have an] impact {on} other sectors in that region," Peel Hunt says.

On Friday, builders' merchant Travis Perkins issues an interim management statement, and Panmure Gordon is expecting the group to have made further progress, despite tough market conditions.

The broker thinks the key issues will be: Spending outlook - public versus private and housing vs commercial; Weather, Jubilee/Olympics disruption; Competitive environment post corporate activity in sector.


Monday October 08

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Camellia, Hikma Pharmaceuticals, JPMorgan American Inv Trust, Tex Holdings

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Alpha Pyrenees Trust Ltd.

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (GER) (07:00)
Current Account (GER) (07:00)
Harmonised Competitiveness Indicators (EU) (09:00)
Industrial Production (GER) (11:00)
Retail Price Index (GER) (07:00)

GMS
InterContinental Hotels Group

FINALS
Waterman Group

ANNUAL REPORT
Cambium Global Timberland Ltd.

IMSS
Hays, Michael Page International

EGMS
Redefine International

AGMS
Cambium Global Timberland Ltd., Mid Wynd International Inv Trust, Scotgold Resources (DI)

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Carclo

Tuesday October 09

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Abbey Protection, Bwin.party Digital Entertainment

QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Marsh & Mclennan Cos Inc.

FINALS
CAP-XX Ltd., DotDigital Group, Utilitywise

IMSS
XP Power Ltd. (DI)

SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
InterContinental Hotels Group

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
May Gurney Integrated Services

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (09:30)
BRC Sales Monitor (00:01)
Industrial Production (09:30)
Manufacturing Production (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Colefax Group

Wednesday October 10

INTERIMS
JZ Capital Partners Ltd

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Braime (T.F.& J.H.) Holdings, Braime (T.F.& J.H.) Holdings (Non-Voting), Dairy Farm International Holdings Ltd. (Singapore), Hongkong Land Holding Ltd. (Singapore), Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd (Singapore), Jardine Strategic Holdingd Ltd. (Singapore), Mandarin Oriental International (Singapore), Restaurant Group

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Amiad Water Systems Ltd, Balfour Beatty, British American Inv Trust, Cenkos Securities, Cobham, Dillistone Group, Hydrogen Group, Johnson Service Group, Keller Group, Kingfisher, Maven Income & Growth 2 VCT, Nationwide Accident Repair Services, Rightmove, SIG, Smith & Nephew, Spirax-Sarco Engineering, StatPro Group, Tesco, Travis Perkins, Unite Group, Yule Catto & Co

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Africa Opportunity Fund Ltd.

QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Assura Group Ltd., Dcg Iris Ltd Red Sterling

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Beige Book Fed Survey (US) (19:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
Wholesales Inventories (US) (15:00)

FINALS
Avanti Communications Group

ANNUAL REPORT
Galliford Try

EGMS
Matrix European Real Estate Inv Trust Ltd.

AGMS
IPPlus

FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Begbies Traynor Group, CPL Resources, Daejan Holdings, Haynes Publishing Group, Hays, Murgitroyd Group, Pacific Horizon Inv Trust, Penna Consulting, Produce Investment, TP70 2008 (I) VCT, TP70 2008 (II) VCT, Wolseley

Thursday October 11

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Berendsen, Macfarlane Group, Molins, Standard Chartered, UBM, Zotefoams

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
XP Power Ltd. (DI)

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (US) (13:30)
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)
Consumer Price Index (GER) (07:00)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
ECB Report (EU) (09:00)
Import and Export Price Indexes (US) (13:30)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Treasury Budget Statement (US) (19:00)

FINALS
Air Partner, WH Smith

IMSS
Ashmore Group, Greggs

AGMS
Angle, Goodwin Plc, Monitise, Standard Life UK Smaller Companies Trust

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Burberry Group

Friday October 12

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Admiral Group, Chime Communications, Clarke (T.), Drax Group, H&T Group, IMI, Restaurant Group, Stadium Group, Tikit Group

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Land Securities Group, Schlumberger Ltd., Yamana Gold Inc.

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Industrial Production (EU) (10:00)
Producer Price Index (US) (13:30)
U. of Michigan Confidence (US) (15:00)

ANNUAL REPORT
Smiths Group

IMSS
Computacenter, Hargreaves Lansdown, Travis Perkins

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Admiral Group

EGMS
Aqua Resources Fund Ltd, Zhejiang Expressway Co 'H' Shares

AGMS
Bailey (C.H.), Crystal Amber Fund Ltd.

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Catalyst Media Group, Henderson Smaller Companies Inv Trust, Mid Wynd International Inv Trust, Stewart & Wight, Sweett Group

Link to article.

BOOK OF THE WEEK

Financial Engineering and Arbitrage in the Financial Markets

By Robert Dubil

A book review by Emanuil Halicioglu

The whole is worth the sum of its parts. Even the most complex structured bond, credit arbitrage strategy or hedge trade can be broken down into its component parts, and if we understand the elemental components, we can then value the whole. We can quantify the risk that is hedged and the risk that is left as the residual exposure. If we learn to view all financial trades and securities as engineered packages of building blocks, then we can analyse in which structures some parts may be cheap and some may be rich. It is this relative value arbitrage principle that drives all modern trading and investment.

Click here to view the rest of the article


ALTERNATIVE BET OF THE WEEK

Your local betting shop may be great for the footie, but you must go online for the truly weird bets.

This week: Who will win the West Coast Main Line franchise

Singles Only. Applies to the winner of the scheduled bid for the contract to run the West Coast Main Line train service. Winner must be announced before the end of 2016. Bets void should the bid be expanded to include other train service contracts. Dead heat rules may apply. Others on request.

First Group 4/6
Virgin Rail 13/8
Keolis/SNCF 9/1
Abellio 11/1
Deutsche Bahn 40/1

Regards,


ShareCrazy

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