Kumaresan Selvaraj pillai


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Wednesday, July 31, 2013

NCDEX Turmeric, Coriander negative; further decline expected

 

  01 AUG 2013  
 
 India Commodity Advisory
Last Updated : Aug 01, 11:24  
COMMODITY PRICE ADVISE TARGET AGENCY
  Cocudakl 1545-1540 1586 Angel
  Red Chilli 5390-5410 5260 Angel
  Menthol Oil 905 872 Reliance
 
 Live Commodity Price
Last Updated : Aug 01, 11:02 IST  
  COMMODITY EXPIRY DATE PRICE
  SILVERMIC 31 Aug, 2013 41363
  CRUDEOIL 19 Aug, 2013 6426
  GOLDPETAL 31 Aug, 2013 2799
 
 
 
 
 Market Outlook
Last Updated : Aug 01, 11:22  
  COMMODITY CONTRACT S1 R1 TRENDS
  Gold Oct 2013 27699 28544 Sideways
  Silver Sep 2013 40895 42216 Sideways
  Copper Aug 2013 415.3 424.9 Sideways
 
 Commodity Online Pivot Points
Last Updated : Aug 01, 2013  
  COMMODITY CONTRACT TREND PIVOT POINT
  Rubber Sep Sideways 17940
  Cardamom Sep Sideways 675
  Turmeric Sep Sideways to Bearish 5227
 
 
 
 NEWS    
  01 AUG 2013  
NCDEX Turmeric, Coriander negative; further decline expected
Crude Oil markets take positive cues from official China PMI
India 2013-14 KMS Rice procurement estimated at 345 lakh tons
How Canadian exploration can be worth a treasure
 
 
 
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| 07.31.13 | Bad timing for Steven Cohen

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July 31, 2013
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Today's Top Stories

  1. It's been a white-knuckle year in the gold market
  2. Ideas for hedge funds mascots
  3. Bad timing? Steven Cohen throws a lavish party
  4. Tourre trial to head to jury
  5. JPMorgan settles energy charges for $410 million


Also Noted: Spotlight On... A controversial tactic for women in the workplace
Ackman losing on Herbalife bet and much more...

News From the Fierce Network:
1. SAC Capital case: A win for quants?
2. JPMorgan to exit commodities
3. Does Steven Cohen face financial ruin?


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Today's Top News

1. It's been a white-knuckle year in the gold market

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

The gold market has been on a 13-year winning streak, prompting some of the biggest names in the hedge fund business to pile in. But that could all come to a close this year, as prices remain mired in bear market territory.

As of now, there's a massive bulls vs. bears fight going on, with monetary policy looming as the key determinant in how all this shakes out. The bearish view is represented by Goldman Sachs, which argues that gold prices will decline as the economy improves enough to prompt less accommodative monetary policy, according to the bank's analysts, as noted by Bloomberg.  They predict the price of gold will drop to $1,050 by the end of next year from about $1,320 level currently.

Hedge funds however are betting that Goldman Sachs is woefully wrong. Gold futures have been rallying in July, "heading for the largest monthly gain since January 2012," as more embrace the view that the Fed will not ease up anytime soon.

"Money managers increased their net-long position by 26 percent to 70,067 futures and options as of July 23, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show. The fourth consecutive weekly gain is the longest streak since October."

For more:
- here's the article

 

Read more about: commodities, Gold
back to top



2. Ideas for hedge funds mascots

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Now that the SEC has authorized mass market advertising by sellers of private securities, per the JOBS Act, are we in for an onslaught of hedge funds advertisements?

The conventional wisdom holds that the industry will take a go-slow approach to such broad advertising. Just because it can do something, doesn't mean it should. One might argue that it makes more sense to advertise broadly only when they have a product aimed at the masses. Hedge funds can still only sell to accredited investors, though we might see more launch "hedge fund mutual fund"-like products.

In any case, Bloomberg has seen fit to discuss a marketing essential: mascots. "The usual suspects – the wise owl, the noble lion, the soaring eagle – are all taken. So we've come up with a few suggestions, with help from readers," it notes.

My favorites include the naked mole rate. "Yes, it sounds creepy at first and the visuals aren't great. But the naked mole rat's physical traits allow it to thrive in an otherwise harsh underground environment. It lacks pain sensation in its skin and has low metabolic and respiratory rates, making it an ideal trader."  In the end, a mole rat may be exactly who you want handling your money.

And then there's the Mink. "A little obvious, but it's an animal with cachet, at least when it's dead. Those hedge-funders with wives and girlfriends have expensive experience with this. According to Wikipedia, 'the American mink is the only extant member of the genus Neovison.' This is a plus -- Neovison sounds like a Google Glass competitor and could appeal to both Gen X and boomers."

Any other ideas?

For more:
- here's the slideshow

Read more about: marketing, advertising
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3. Bad timing? Steven Cohen throws a lavish party

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

When it comes to conspicuous consumption, timing is paramount. Steven Cohen has raised the art to a new level, sending strong messages with timely purchases. The most infamous example: About the time he was agreeing to pay $616 million to settle civil charges with the SEC, without admitting or denying wrongdoing, he was also negotiating to pay $155 million for Pablo Picasso's "Le Rêve".

Some interpreted that move as a finger in the eye of prosecutors, a statement that such a puny settlement is no sweat off his back. One can only speculate if that incident offered any incentive for prosecutors to seek more aggressive financial penalties. They are seeking to put him out of business as an advisor and the penalties might eat into his vast personal wealth.

Is Cohen at it again? Reuters report, "Cohen did not let the filing of criminal charges against his $14 billion SAC Capital Advisors get in the way of a party this weekend at his vacation estate in tony East Hampton, New York.

"The Saturday night party at Cohen's 10-bedroom home on Further Lane took place two days after federal prosecutors in New York announced a five-count criminal indictment against SAC Capital that portrayed the 21-year-old Stamford, Conn.-based fund as a breeding ground for unlawful insider trading." The party apparently called for the delivery of $2,000 worth of tuna to Cohen's home in Conn.

In Cohen's defense, the party was planned before the most recent SEC and DOJ charges were filed. And one person "familiar with the event" said the party, attended by a few dozen people, was intended "to show support for ovarian cancer research, though it was not a fundraiser." He has indeed been a prodigious philanthropist, as billionaires tend to be.

For more:
- here's the article

Read more about: SAC Capital, Steven Cohen
back to top



4. Tourre trial to head to jury

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Is Fabrice Tourre on the verge of a big court win?

His team of lawyers seem quite confident. They called no witnesses to the stand. Not a single one. Apparently, they are convinced that the SEC's legal team, which got off to a rocky start, did their work for them, starting with the counterproductive testimony of a former Paulson & Co. executive.

"Defense lawyers deliberated changing up their strategy in recent days, with the final decision having been made as late as Monday morning, people briefed on the matter said. The team was encouraged by the last piece of evidence that the S.E.C. submitted in its case: the videotaped deposition of Michael Nartey, a former salesman in Goldman's London office who worked on the mortgage investment at the heart of Mr. Tourre's case," according to DealBook.

"During the deposition, parts of which were played for the jury, Mr. Nartey testified that his colleague never told him that the hedge fund Paulson & Company — which was betting against the mortgage deal — had a hand in selecting the securities that ended up in the security. That left Mr. Nartey with no opportunity to inform his client, IKB, a German bank that decided to invest in the trade."

He went on to testify that "had he been told of Paulson & Company's investment, he likely would not have disclosed it anyway." He also said he wasn't sure if he saw Paulson & Co. as actually selecting the securities in the CDO at issue.

In the end, it's unsure how all of this bears on Tourre and his alleged attempt to mislead investors. The strongest evidence for the SEC came from an ACA Management executive, who said that she was left with a strong impression that Paulson & Co. was an equity investor not a short investor.  The defense apparently likes its chances enough that it did not seek to call anyone to counter that testimony in any way. Deliberations will likely start on Wednesday.

For more:
- here's the article
- SEC presses Tourre about salary on paid leave

 

Read more about: Goldman Sachs, Fabrice Tourre
back to top



5. JPMorgan settles energy charges for $410 million

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

As expected, JPMorgan Chase has settled charges that it manipulated power markets in California and Michigan with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which has cast a wary eye on Wall Street energy operations. The bank will pay $285 million in penalties to the Treasury and about $125 million in restitution to ratepayers.

The roughly $410 million settlement price tag is not likely to dent the bank, which reported strong earnings for the second quarter. While it's unclear if the bank had reserved against this settlement, the bank has emerged as one of the most profitable in terms of absolute profits. The move, which did not call for the bank to admit any wrong-doing, will help it put the entire episode behind it.

The regulator found that JPMorgan ran 12 manipulative bidding strategies, which forced grid operators to pay inflated prices.

The good news for the bank is that no executives will be personally charged apparently, according to media reports. The big worry previously was that Blythe Masters, and influential executive in the commodities world, would be named personally in a complaint alleging that she frustrated investigatory efforts and mislead the commission. At least three other executives were said to be in the lines of fire as well. In the end, that might have been a bargaining plot.

The big question as of now is whether FERC will go after other banks. Earlier this month, it ordered Barclays to pay $453 million, alleging that the bank manipulated energy markets from 2006 to 2008. Barclays has vowed to fight the order. Other banks may face similar issues soon.

The move comes amid rising scrutiny of commodities activity across the board, from marker making to physical ownership and storage. JPMorgan has already announced it will sell its physical commodities unit.

For more:
- here's a Washington Post article

Read more about: JPMorgan, FERC
back to top



Also Noted

SPOTLIGHT ON... A controversial tactic for women in the workplace

According to recent lawsuit, female trainees at Merrill Lynch's Manhattan office were given copies of "Seducing the Boys Club: Uncensored Tactics From a Woman at the Top" and told to attend a talk by the author. The author was no less than Nina DiSesa, the first female chairwoman of McCann Erickson. She advocates a workplace approach that includes "flirting and sugarcoating criticism of male co-workers with flattery," according to the plaintiffs. Article

 

Company News: 
> Ex-Goldman trader: greed not good. Article
> Ackman losing on Herbalife. Article
> Barclays to raise $8.9 billion. Article
> Goldman Sachs: sell Nasdaq. Article
> Barclays investor blasts regulators. Article
> Barclays sells more shares than anticipated. Article
> Credit Suisse on the next stocks to join S&P 500. Article
> Einhorn still bullish on gold. Article
Industry News:
> Currency trading aids banks. Article
> Home prices cooling. Article
And finally … Copper theft sweeps U.S. Article


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BEA News: GDP, 2nd quarter 2013 (advance estimate) | Comprehensive Revision: 1929 - 1st quarter 2013

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has issued the following news release today:

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 1.7 percent in the second quarter of 2013 (that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.  In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.1 percent (revised).
 

The full text of the release on BEA's Web site can be found at www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm

The Bureau of Economic Analysis provides this service to you at no charge. Visit us on the Web at www.bea.gov. All you will need is your e-mail address. If you have questions or need assistance, please e-mail subscribe@bea.gov.



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