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Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Lucian Miers Update on Noventa plus today's brokers in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

Read the Market Update, Tip of the Day, the Book of the Week, and Broker Recommendations
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Tuesday 16 October 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

There's nothing so improves the mood of the Party as the imminent execution of a senior colleague
- Alan Clark


ON THE SHARECRAZY BLOG

Update on Noventa

By Lucian Miers, East London's most feared short-seller

Since I advised selling the shares of Noventa short at 1.2p in July, they have risen to touch 5p before settling at today's price of 3p. So apologies for bad timing.

The reason for the rise is that the company announced on August 6th that its loan from Richmond Capital Partners of $10 million (of which $7.6 million had been drawn down and was repayable at the end of July) had been increased to $16 million and the term extended to end August. That was extended again to the end of September by which time we learned that substantially all of it had been drawn down. Then it was extended again till the end of this month.

Click here to view the rest of the article


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,844.65

39.04   0.67%

FTSE 250

11,958.52

102.85   0.87%

FTSE 350

3,117.89

21.63   0.70%



FTSE All Share

3,052.57

20.95   0.69%

AIM 100

3,197.58

25.26   0.80%

AIM All Share

706.46

4.01   0.57%


11:58 am
Stocks extends gains after German ZEW survey

- German ZEW index beats forecasts
- Markets await results from US blue-chips
- Signs of progress in Eurozone lift sentiment

UK stocks had held on to gains by Tuesday lunchtime as investors digested some decent economic figures and improving newsflow from the Eurozone.

"Financial markets extended yesterday's gains, with sentiment improving after Monday's better-than-expected US retail sales data and Citi's 3Q numbers," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital.

"In Europe, reports that Spain is moving closer to seeking financial aid by tapping into a credit line together with decent Spanish bills auction and upbeat German ZEW and UK inflation numbers have all combined to bolster the mood," he said.

The German ZEW survey which measures economic sentiment improved to -11.5 in October, from -18.2 the month before and better than the -14.9 estimate.

UK CPI inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.2% in September, in line with market expectations, taking the rate to its lowest level since November 2009 and close to the 2% target set by the Bank of England.

Meanwhile, stock futures in the US are pointing to a positive start on Wall Street as investors ahead to third-quarter figures from Goldman Sachs, Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson and IBM due for release later on.

As for the Eurozone, Portugal last night revealed its 2013 budget yesterday which includes tax rises and spending cuts and is likely to see the country fall into its third year of recession.

Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras said in Athens last night that he is confident that Greece will receive its next tranche of the bailout.

A short-term debt auction in Spain saw borrowing costs edge lower: the Treasury sold €4.863bn in 12- and 18-month notes, above the €3.5-4.5bn target range.

FTSE 100: Financials, miners provide a lift

Banking stocks and mining groups were performing well by midday as risk appetite increased. Lloyds, RBS, Randgold and Polymetal were among the highest risers on the Footsie.

Diversified mining group Rio Tinto rose after hailing a strong set of production results in the third quarter, with iron ore, copper, bauxite, alumina, and titanium dioxide output up year-on-year.

Sector peer Anglo American gained after saying that the illegal occupation of the Sishen Mine - owned by its subsidiary Kumbia Iron Ore - has been brought to an end by police. The company said it could get back to business as soon as possible.

Heading the other way was global engineering firm GKN after warning that macroeconomic conditions have deteriorated in recent weeks and it was seeing evidence of softening in order books. Investec this morning cut its price target on the stock and retained a 'hold' rating.

Airline group IAG was a heavy faller after Liberum Capital downgraded its recommendation for the shares to 'sell'.

Telecoms titan BT Group was in demand after Nomura reiterated its 'buy' rating on the stock, saying it prefers it to Vodafone on "structural growth drivers and dividend outlook".

FTSE 250: N Brown surges after solid first half

Internet and catalogue home shopping firm N Brown jumped after reporting that sale and profits ahead of expectations in the first half, with like-for-like (LFL) sales growth accelerating in the second quarter. Shares were up nearly 11% by lunchtime.

UK housebuilder Bellway was also a high riser after delivering a solid increase in full-year pre-tax profit, helped by a strong performance in London, and said reservations since July 31st have remained in line with expectations.

Gold miner Petropavlovsk rose after saying it was on track to achieve its full-year production target of at least 700,000oz.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 42.16p +4.55%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 593.00p +2.68%
Evraz (EVR) 234.80p +2.44%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,152.00p +2.31%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,143.00p +2.14%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 273.80p +2.13%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 7,700.00p +2.12%
Sage Group (SGE) 308.30p +2.02%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 1,281.00p +1.91%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 703.00p +1.88%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
GKN (GKN) 205.40p -3.07%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 154.60p -2.15%
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) 1,587.00p -1.06%
Tesco (TSCO) 307.60p -0.77%
Capita (CPI) 734.50p -0.61%
CRH (CRH) 1,114.00p -0.54%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 266.20p -0.49%
Sainsbury (J) (SBRY) 356.50p -0.36%
Pennon Group (PNN) 719.00p -0.35%
IMI (IMI) 900.00p -0.33%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Brown (N.) Group (BWNG) 298.50p +10.68%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 480.90p +8.31%
Paragon Group Of Companies (PAG) 234.20p +5.02%
Bodycote (BOY) 362.20p +4.96%
Perform Group (PER) 419.10p +4.78%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 39.24p +4.28%
Persimmon (PSN) 776.50p +4.02%
Man Group (EMG) 93.60p +3.88%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 442.70p +3.73%
Senior (SNR) 196.70p +3.64%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 578.50p -3.50%
Telecom Plus (TEP) 869.50p -1.64%
PayPoint (PAY) 751.00p -1.25%
Regus (RGU) 103.90p -1.05%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 63.80p -1.01%
BH Global Ltd. USD Shares (BHGU) 11.5 -0.86%
Greggs (GRG) 486.90p -0.79%
Carpetright (CPR) 694.00p -0.79%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 98.30p -0.76%
RPS Group (RPS) 244.60p -0.73%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
ASOS: Morgan Stanley initiates coverage with overweight rating and 3,000p target.

GKN: Jefferies maintains buy rating and 275p target.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

FREE SHARE TIP OF THE DAY

Office2Office - New contract win for BMC

A report by GECR

  • office2office, the leading supplier of office supplies and business services in the UK, announced on 5th October that its operating division Banner Managed Communication (BMC) has won a major contract with the UK's fifth largest Life and Pensions Company, Friends Life.
  • BMC, the group's business process and communications outsourcing division, has been appointed as Friends Life's new marketing print and warehousing services partner.
  • As well as winning this contract, we understand that BMC has had a string of notable wins throughout 2012, attributed to the high quality of its people and services.
  • With the shares trading at 128.50p, we maintain our stance of buy and our 219p target price.


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THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

St Ives

Black Mountain

May Gurney Integrated Services

Falkland Gas & Oil

The Running Trading Thread

Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members


BOOK OF THE WEEK

101 Charts for Trading Success

By Zak Mir

A book review by Luka Lukic of t1ps.com

Zak Mir, editor of the UK's leading technical analysis website t1ps.com, has shot straight to the top of the investment charts with his new Kindle ebook 101 Charts for Trading Success. 101 Charts offers readers an insight into some of the most significant events to affect the financial markets in history, from the Wall Street Crash of 1929 to the Dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, and explains how traders could have used technical analysis to have made big profits in these volatile markets.

Click here to view the rest of the article

SHARECRAZY TV

Tip of the Month
A monthly free hot share tip from Richard Gill
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Oil Barrel TV
The best of the Oil Barrel conferences
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Minesite TV
The best of the Minesite forums
Click here to watch




ShareCrazy Poll
At what price will GOLD be at the end of 2012?
Below $1,400
$1,400 - $1,599
$1,600 - $1,799
$1,800 - $1,999
Above $2,000

 
 
 
 



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