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Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Two takes on Bob Diamond from Lucian Miers and Luka Lukic in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

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Wednesday 11 July 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

It is the wretchedness of being rich that you have to live with rich people
- Logan Pearsall Smith


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,661.52

-2.55   -0.05%

FTSE 250

10,986.18

-79.31   -0.72%

FTSE 350

2,999.31

-3.93   -0.13%



FTSE All Share

2,933.29

-3.90   -0.13%

AIM 100

3,176.47

-3.60   -0.11%

AIM All Share

695.98

-1.48   -0.21%


11:53 am
ON THE SHARECRAZY BLOG

Rewarding Failure by Lucian Miers

I went to hear John Lanchester speak the other day at the Winchester Literary festival. Lanchester wrote "Whoops" (why everyone owes everyone and no one can pay), an excellent account of the banking crisis of 2008.

He, like most of the audience, was appalled by the gutless performance of MPs who gave Bob Diamond such a pathetically easy ride last week and suggested what should have been said. It went something like this:

Click here for the rest of the article


Something bad has happened! Get the pitchforks! writes Luka Lukic

So Barclays have done something bad and as good Britons we have all done the correct thing - a round of heavy tutting and demanding that someone must go. Preferably someone important, whose name we know. Continuing the theme of being good Britons, Barclays' chairman Marcus Agius and CEO Bob Diamond (American as he may be) played a game of "No, I insist" over who should take the blame and resign. We then had the pleasure of witnessing a middle class version of "The Jeremy Kyle Show" as Agius and Diamond had to face the pointless parliamentary entity that is the Treasury Select Committee. A bunch of aging back benchers asking inane questions about whether they thought what happened was wrong, what their opinion was of the party the member hailed from and generally giving them a right good telling off. Job done, the cycle is completed and we have been appeased.

Click here for the rest of the article

Footsie pares losses but still in the red

- Burberry leads stocks lower after Q1 update
- Johnson Matthey, Lloyds, Centrica, SSE fall after broker downgrades
- FOMC minutes due out later

The FTSE 100 had pared some of its earlier losses but was still trading firmly in the red by Wednesday lunchtime with a disappointing trading update from Burberry and some broker downgrades weighing heavily on the blue-chip-index.

"The markets are very pessimistic about the upcoming US corporate earnings which began reporting yesterday. While Alcoa reporting a slightly better EPS figure, revenues were down as expected due to lower prices and falling demand. This trend is likely to continue over the next few weeks, which could pull the markets lower," said analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari.

Investors will be keeping an eye on the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee in the US which are due out this evening. "Last month, the Fed opted to expand 'Operation Twist', dashing the markets hopes for more quantitative easing. Today, we will get a chance to understand what went on behind the scenes at the Fed, and if the central bank will follow other major peers and turn aggressive on policies," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital this morning.

A court hearing in Germany began yesterday attempting to decide whether the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), the EU's permanent bailout fund, abides by German law. "A considerable postponement of the ESM, which was foreseen for July this year, could cause considerable further uncertainty on markets beyond Germany and a substantial loss of trust in the eurozone's ability to make necessary decisions in an appropriate timeframe," according to Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble.

Meanwhile , according to the International Labour Organisation (ILO), state austerity plans could lead to four-and-a-half million more people losing their jobs in the Eurozone by 2016.

FTSE 100: Burberry sinks after disappointing first quarter

Luxury brand Burberry sank early on after underlying sales growth slowed down from 15% in the fourth quarter to 11% in the first quarter. Analysts were expecting a 13% increase. Both Nomura and Bank of America Merrill Lynch cut their target prices for the stock today.

Chemicals group Johnson Matthey dropped after UBS downgraded the stock to 'neutral' while banking group Lloyds was suffering from a ratings cut by Liberum Capital to 'sell'.

Utilities peers Centrica and SSE were heavy fallers after Morgan Stanley downgraded the stocks to 'equal weight' and 'underweight', respectively. In contrast, insurance firm Aviva was benefiting after the US broker upgraded its rating to 'overweight'.

Power systems group Rolls-Royce fell despite winning a $280m order from Avianca for Trent 700 engines to power four Airbus A330 freighter aircraft.

Royal Dutch Shell was lower after splashing out $74m to buy up the remaining shares of Norwegian liquid natural gas supplier Gasnor it does not already own.

Heading the other way was pharmaceuticals giant GlaxoSmithKline after test results suggested that its HIV treatment might be more effective than a competitor's.

Interdealer broker ICAP also advanced despite saying that profits were down in the first quarter and trading volumes would remain subdued for at least the next few months. The stock has experienced a sharp fall over the last four months though.

FTSE 250: Britvic hammered by recall and weather

Soft drinks group Britvic plummeted after saying the recall of its Robinsons Fruit Shoot and Fruit Shoot Hydro drinks could cost the company up to GBP25m. Added to this, poor weather conditions and weak consumer sentiment means the group now expects to deliver a full-year results at the bottom end of market expectations - before taking account of the impact of the recall. Panmure Gordon downgraded the stock to 'sell' this morning.

Pub chain JD Wetherspoon rose after announcing that it had been boosted by strong trading around the fortnight of the Jubilee celebrations and during the Euro 2012 championships.

FTSE 100 - Risers
ARM Holdings (ARM) 491.30p +2.25%
ICAP (IAP) 315.80p +1.51%
Aviva (AV.) 290.20p +1.33%
Schroders (SDR) 1,328.00p +1.22%
Capital Shopping Centres Group (CSCG) 325.80p +0.93%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 183.30p +0.91%
National Grid (NG.) 689.00p +0.88%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,465.50p +0.79%
CRH (CRH) 1,190.00p +0.76%
RSA Insurance Group (RSA) 109.40p +0.74%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,208.00p -5.92%
Polymetal International (POLY) 850.00p -3.08%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,536.00p -2.72%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,109.00p -2.68%
Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) 319.00p -2.68%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,031.00p -2.45%
WPP (WPP) 790.50p -2.17%
Old Mutual (OML) 153.10p -2.17%
GKN (GKN) 211.00p -2.09%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 873.00p -1.91%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Aquarius Platinum Ltd. (AQP) 42.98p +6.92%
Spirit Pub Company (SPRT) 49.50p +4.76%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 70.75p +3.44%
Grainger (GRI) 91.70p +3.03%
Avocet Mining (AVM) 68.50p +2.93%
BH Global Ltd. USD Shares (BHGU) 11.4 +2.61%
Wetherspoon (J.D.) (JDW) 432.50p +2.56%
Perform Group (PER) 430.00p +2.26%
Bumi (BUMI) 314.40p +2.08%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 2,800.00p +1.82%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Britvic (BVIC) 251.60p -16.19%
FirstGroup (FGP) 187.10p -8.46%
Senior (SNR) 183.00p -5.62%
Barr (A.G.) (BAG) 413.40p -3.55%
Bodycote (BOY) 331.90p -3.26%
Renishaw (RSW) 1,344.00p -3.17%
Halfords Group (HFD) 191.80p -3.13%
Chemring Group (CHG) 281.60p -3.03%
Dialight (DIA) 990.00p -2.94%
ITE Group (ITE) 195.50p -2.93%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Croda International: UBS downgrades to neutral, target increased from 2,280p to 2,300p.

Micro Focus: UBS downgrades to neutral, target lifted from 560p to 570p; Investec lifts target from 600p to 520p, buy rating kept.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Rivington Street Holdings

Ascent Resources

BTG

Avanti Communications

Running trading thread

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BOOK OF THE WEEK

Security Analysis: The classic 1940 edition

By Benjamin Graham and David Dodd

A book review by Ross Jones

The majority of us will have heard of Warren Buffett, George Soros, Michael Bloomberg and Peter Lynch, but less of us will be familiar with Benjamin Graham or David Dodd. Peter Train in The Money Masters (1980) described Graham as the 'century's (and perhaps history's) most important thinker on applied portfolio investment, taking it from an art, based on impressions, inside information, flair, to a proto-science, an orderly discipline'. But who were Graham and Dodd?
Click here to view the rest of the article

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ShareCrazy Poll
Which will be the first country to leave the Euro ?

Germany
Greece
Portugal
Ireland
None will leave

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