| | Sunday 22 July 2012 A MESSAGE FROM TOM Dr Doom, aka Nouriel Roubini, talked last week of a perfect storm in 2013. One component of that storm is a war between the West and Iran. I am not sure that it has to be Iran but there are stacks of other tinderboxes waiting to go up in that region and that has profound implications for the oil price.
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THAT WAS THE WEEK THAT WAS
2012's Second Half Will Brighten Up
By Malcolm Stacy
Hello Share Mates,
Doesn't time fly fast? We are now further than half way through 2012. It seems only yesterday I was taking the Christmas tree down.
The year 2012 will go down so far as the year nothing happened to shares. They rise fast, they fall fast - and the result is much the same as when we started the new year. Even though we were so hopeful that the recession was behind us.
Since then, there have been loads of crises involving European countries. And we are still not out of that mess. Each time the Footsie rises, it is brought back to earth by another Euro mess, or perhaps a bank mess. It gets you down.
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TIP OF THE MONTH  Richard Gill presents the new video Tip of the Month
The Week Ahead Hammerson, ARM, AstraZeneca
Next week looks like a busy week for corporate trading statements and results, as blue chips begin to update the market on their performance at the interim stage, including FTSE 100 peers Hammerson, ARM Holdings and AstraZeneca.
Retail-focused real estate investment trust (REIT) Hammerson is expected to release a statement on Monday. Peel Hunt has said that while the UK UPD shopping centre index has fallen 1.6% in the first five months of 2012, Hammerson is expected to outperform - "achieving anything above 0% would be a positive here".
"Any small decline could well be offset by French retail and further gains at the Marseille development. Overall, we expect broadly unchanged net asset value and earnings per share," the broker said.
On Wednesday, heavyweight chip designer ARM Holdings will update investors with its second-quarter trading. Since mid-April, the stock has stopped around from 600p to below 500p.
Jefferies said in a statement earlier this month: "Its perhaps not a dearth of new news in the name that's limiting upside - we think instead the market is concerned on 2Q royalties (weak guide) and order cuts in the channel for some handset makers (mainly RIM, Nokia; some at others like Samsung, Hua, HTC and ZTE) into 3Q12." The broker expects a $205m top-line with royalties accounting for $104m an licensing $76m.
Pharmaceuticals group AstraZeneca will release its second-quarter statement on Thursday. Consensus estimates are for $6,800m of sales and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.40 in the three-month period.
"Further cost cutting should support the near-term dividend, however we see a risk of EPS downgrades as AZN diverts money from share buybacks to pay for assets to refill the sales line," said analysts at Credit Suisse last week.
Click here for the week's announcements
101 WAYS TO SAVE MONEY
By Tom Winnifrith
Every week, ShareCrazy will excerpt a part of Tom Winnfrith's book 101 ways to save money in a recession.
Number 36: Do not pay to get your car washed
I know that it is far simpler to go to a drive-through car wash and hand over your keys to a bunch of men in baseball caps than to do it yourself but it is a consummate waste of your cash. If you have kids, make them earn their pocket money (a useful training for later life) by washing your car once a week - while they are about it, they can tidy the house, do the washing up, etc. Okay, so the kids refuse. Get out a bucket and some soapy water and do it yourself. It will not take more than 20 minutes and the saving has to be £ 10-15. If you avoid a monthly visit to the carwash then your annual saving is £ 120-180. And that ignores the cost of driving to and from the carwash which - with petrol where it is - is unlikely to be insignificant.
Buy the book now for just GBP6.99 +postage CLICK HERE
BOOK OF THE WEEK By Jack D. Schwager
A book review by James Faulkner of WatsHot.com As of April 2012 the hedge fund industry reached a record high of $2.13 trillion total assets under management, having surpassed the previous high of $1.93 trillion in 2008 before the onset of the financial crisis. While the industry remains a relatively small component of the financial sector at large (it accounted for just 1.1% of the total funds and assets held by financial institutions as of 2009), it is often said to attract the crème de la crème of industry talent, and is home to the money of the some of the richest people on the planet.
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ALTERNATIVE BET OF THE WEEK Your local betting shop may be great for the footie, but you must go online for the truly weird bets.
This week: when will the Euro to cease to exist as official currency?
Singles only. Applies to the date that the Euro ceases to exist as the official currency of any of the Eurozone 17 members (as at 01/01/2012)
| 2012 | 9/1 | | 2013 | 6/1 | | 2014 | 4/1 | | 2015 | 6/1 | | 2016 | 6/1 | | 2017 | 5/4 |
Regards,
ShareCrazy
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