Kumaresan Selvaraj pillai


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Friday, July 27, 2012

| 07.27.12 | John Paulson's struggles continues

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July 27, 2012
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Today's Top Stories
1. John Paulson's struggles continue
2. Columnist blasts Weill over comments
3. Bank breakup idea looms
4. A new star at Goldman Sachs
5. Former Lehman president downsizes

Also Noted: Spotlight On... VC upbeat for exits, downbeat on economy
Whitney weighs in on breakups; Banks benefit from new card law and much more...

News From the Fierce Network:
1. Lehman Brothers spreads the bad luck
2. Barclays exec in line for huge payout
3. Slow-drip data loss will cut revenue


Events

> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012
> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London
> NYIF Portfolio Management Program - August 8-17 - New York, NY
> BAI Retail Delivery Conference & Expo - October 9-11 - Washington, DC
> NYIF Advanced Alternative Investments - October 3-4 - New York, NY
> NYIF Core Skills Analyst Program - October 22- November 16 - New York, NY

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Today's Top News

1. John Paulson's struggles continue

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

These days, it's all about the silver lining for John Paulson's struggles.

His flagship funds are suffering mightily this year, failing to reverse the misery he suffered last year. P&I puts a positive spin to this, noting that "Paulson & Co. Inc. is on track to survive a reversal of fortune that sources say very few other hedge fund managers could withstand."

But perhaps the real silver lining is that "About 60%, or $12.6 billion of June 30 assets are from employees. Observers said it is impossible to know how much of that employee asset pool belongs to John Paulson, the firm's founder and president, but they speculate it is the vast majority. (By contrast, about 31% or 32% of Paulson & Co.'s assets are from institutional investors.) One source said the hedge fund manager's size at its peak — before the performance decline — combined with the high percentage of employee capital have insulated Paulson from the crippling impacts that performance declines of this size and client redemptions would wreak on other firms."

And here's one more: "Two-thirds of assets are managed in three other strategies — merger arbitrage, credit and distressed equities — that have produced positive returns for the first half of 2012."

The jury is still out as to whether or not Paulson can recover from this. It will be a long time before he can take performance fees, and that has to be weighing on him.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
John Paulson's losses grow
John Paulson's gold positions anger investors
Paulson struggles in February, aims at Hartford

Read more about: Hedge Funds
back to top



2. Columnist blasts Weill over comments

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Sanford "Sandy" Weill shocked the world with his pronouncement that the time has come to break up big banks.

After all, this is the man who is often considered the father of the financial supermarket, and who built a universal bank in the old Citigroup.

So what was he hoping to achieve in calling for a break up of the biggest banks? The pronouncement on national TV has led to criticism, some of it extreme. Consider the views of columnist Charles Gasparino, who wrote the following in the Huffington Post:

"It's hard to take Weill seriously. First this is a man with an ego the size of the bank he created. People who know him say he needs media attention like an alcoholic needs a stiff drink, and he's gotten precious little of it since retiring from the banking business six years ago. Yesterday made him feel like the same old Sandy again. Then there's his record as a banker, which should banish him from ever dispensing advice on the business he helped destroy."

Ouch! Gasparino continues, writing that, "Citigroup wasn't just big. It was bad -- literally bad. The firm under Weill financed frauds like Worldcom and Enron without a second thought."

He goes on to recount various transgressions involving former analyst Jack Grubman and Weill.

"You can't make up this kind of sleaze," he adds, concluding that "Most other banks aren't doing much better, and they can thank Sandy Weill for showing them the road to ruination."

Gosh Charles, tell us what you really think. Though in all seriousness, whether Weill intended it or not, the whole controversy over his comments has helped put the issue of big bank break ups right back on the map. Weill may be seeking some consulting business out of this. If that's true, some columnists will have a field day.

For more:
- here's the column
- here's some commentary from Slate

Related articles:
Sandford Weill: Break up banks
Gasparino slams Bank of America CEO

Read more about: banks, break up
back to top



3. Bank breakup idea looms

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Suddenly, the idea of big bank break ups is back in vogue.

A core group of bank critics have been pushing this line ever since the financial crisis erupted, bu the movement picked up an important supporter when Sanford Weill, the father of the modern banking supermarket, went public this week with his view that big banks should be broken up.

One hedge fund manager, who specializes in bank stocks, voiced the guts of the issue when he told Reuters: "My gut says all these megabanks are worth more separately than combined."

At a minimum, banks need to shrink, which they are doing. But the stock malaise has lasted long enough that boards will perhaps be less willing to give the idea of a more formal break up mere short shrift. Increasingly, analysts "say their top institutional clients are increasingly reluctant to invest in any bank stocks."

Last week, hedge fund manager Bill Ackman said his firm sold its big position in Citigroup, "despite his general admiration for the bank's management, because the banking system has become too risky. JPMorgan Chase & Co's almost $6 billion of derivative losses and the Libor interest-rate-fixing scandal in the last few months proved to be the 'proverbial straw that broke this camel's back,'" Ackman wrote to his clients.

You can only assign regulatory aggressiveness so much blame for woes of the industry. At some point, shareholders will tire of that line. We may be getting closer to the boiling point.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Sandford Weill: Break up banks
Calls to break up big banks intensify

 

Read more about: banks, break up
back to top



4. A new star at Goldman Sachs

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Goldman Sachs Treasurer Elizabeth "Liz" Beshel Robinson "took center stage" during a recent conference call with analysts and investors, to discuss the firm's fiscal health, the New York Post reports. The paper called the appearance "her first audition" for the job of CFO.

The current CFO, David Viniar, was also on the call and helped field questions.

"Robinson, who is married to Goldman Managing Director Samuel Robinson, shares several similarities with Viniar. Both held the treasurer job and worked their way up the ranks," the paper notes. "Robinson joined Goldman fresh out of college and has been steeped in the firm's culture. She earned her MBA at Columbia University at night while still working at the firm."

She may well have been penciled in as the future CFO, so what does that tell us about the future of Viniar?

The article suggests that he is keen to leave the bank once the roller coaster ride stops. That's a bit of a departure from the conventional wisdom that he aims to succeed his friend Lloyd Blankfein as CEO of the firm someday.

That may or may not be in the cards, but as of right now, there is no indication that Blankfein will be announcing his departure anytime soon. If Viniar loses his bid to become CEO, he will likely move on. At that point, it's unclear whether Robinson, if she is perceived as a Viniar mentee, will be tapped for the CFO job. Her best bet is to hope that her current boss eventually moves up.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Who will replace David Viniar as Goldman Sachs CFO?
Lloyd Blankfein eyes his future

Read more about: Goldman Sachs, CEO
back to top



5. Former Lehman president downsizes

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Joseph Gregory, Lehman Brothers' former chief operating officer and president, seems to be downsizing, adjusting to a life that can no longer be financed by the firm's stock.

He has listed his Long Island mansion for sale, according to Business Insider. The estate on the North Shore of Long Island "is situated on almost 10 acres with waterfront access, was custom built in 2002. It boasts six-bedrooms, eight full baths, two half baths and a seven car garage. The property also has a 15,000 square-foot main house and a 6,000 square-foot guest house, according to the listing.  (The main house can be sold without the guest house)."

Gregory famously used a helicopter and sometimes a seaplane to commute from this residence to Manhattan. It is unclear what Gregory is now doing professionally, or where he resides. At one point, he also owned a home in Manchester, Vermont, an apartment on Park Avenue and a home somewhere in Pennsylvania.

If he's downsizing, he must think the market at the high end is strong enough to produce some strong bids. It will be interesting to see if he can sell this for what he wants. He's listed it at $22 million.

For more:
- here's the article

Read more about: Lehman Brothers
back to top



Also Noted

SPOTLIGHT ON... VC upbeat for exits, downbeat on economy

Despite the Facebook IPO fiasco, a recent survey has found "renewed confidence in the exit market, despite the substantial decrease in the number of venture-backed IPOs last quarter," reports VB News. With that said, the industry is also more concerned about the economic malaise that seems to be spreading to Silicon Valley. In any case, this industry is nothing if not relentlessly optimistic. Article

 

Company News:
> CME suffers as rate swaps trading falls. Article
> Fidelity snares bond managers. Article
> Janus redemptions still strong. Article
> LSE deal to damage competition? Article
> Icahn fails to find buyer. Article
> Invesco sees turnaround in flows. Article
> Whitney weighs in on breakups. Article
> Citigroup: Greece likely to exit Euro. Article
> Fidelity ponders LIBOR action. Article
Industry News:
> British banks under LIBOR pressure. Article
> Banks benefit from new card law. Article
Regulatory News:
> EU: banks coy on Greek debt. Article
> Senator on bank break ups. Article

And Finally…Silicon Valley, patents on trial. Article


Events


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> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012

This conference provides a unique environment for developing dialogue between plan sponsors, managers and consultants. This event will feature panel-driven discussions focused on specific investment techniques of fixed income and hedge fund managers, the evolving role of institutional consultants, the manager evaluation process and more. Register today.

> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London

Come and join MasterCard, Renfe, Deutsche Bahn, Visa Europe, Orange, Arriva Netherlands, O2 and many more for the first event to bring together the whole NFC Ticketing industry for discussion, debate and quality networking. Click here.

> NYIF Portfolio Management Program - August 8-17 - New York, NY

This program is a challenging, but rewarding, eight-day educational experience. Consisting of three modules: a three-day Fixed Income Portfolio Management class, a three-day Equity Portfolio Management class, and a two-day Theory & Practice class, these modules blend traditional lectures, case studies, and site visits, and all attendees will receive a Texas Instruments BA II Plus calculator and a tablet or Netbook to contribute to their learning experience. Register now.

> BAI Retail Delivery Conference & Expo - October 9-11 - Washington, DC

BAI Retail Delivery 2012, taking place October 9-11 in Washington, DC, brings together the industry’s best ideas, insights and solutions to help you rebuild profitability. With more than 200 exhibitors, it is the industry’s premier retail banking event. Register now at www.BAIRetailDelivery.com.

> NYIF Advanced Alternative Investments - October 3-4 - New York, NY

This advanced course gives an investment approach for evaluating the opportunities and pitfalls of alternative investments. Alternative investments discussed include real estate, hedge funds, venture capital, private equity, commodities, as well as some other specialized areas such as collectibles, entertainment financing and hypertrading. While this course covers some of the basics, it revolves around examples and discussions in class in order to enrich the knowledge of this topic. Register today.

> NYIF Core Skills Analyst Program - October 22- November 16 - New York, NY

Bringing together core finance concepts and theories, this program is a challenging and rewarding experience for entry-level analysts, finance and investment professionals seeking to enhance their skill set. Real-life case studies supplement the hands-on learning experience, providing a wealth of practical knowledge to take back to the workplace. The program provides four weeks of intensive training in accounting (optional), corporate finance, credit risk and financial modeling. Register today.



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