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Tuesday, July 31, 2012

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Tuesday 31 July 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies
- Thomas Jefferson


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,670.99

-22.64   -0.40%

FTSE 250

11,181.96

-56.95   -0.51%

FTSE 350

3,010.53

-12.45   -0.41%



FTSE All Share

2,944.41

-12.12   -0.41%

AIM 100

3,005.43

-3.36   -0.11%

AIM All Share

668.55

-0.87   -0.13%


12:00 pm

Markets in the red despite mining strength

- Recent global risk rally shows signs of fading
- European blue-chips (BP, Weir, UBS, Deutsche Bank)
- Markets await central bank action

London's equity markets were broadly lower on Tuesday as sentiment was dampened by heavyweight corporates (BP, Weir, UBS, Deutsche Bank) missing analysts' estimates across Europe; nevertheless, the Footsie was trading within an extremely narrow range of just 14 points in morning trade.

"The recent global risk rally fuelled by declarations of support for the Eurozone by the region's policymakers has started to show signs of fading as the reality of a deepening Eurozone economic contraction starts to grate on nerves," said Ishaq Siddiqi, market strategist at ETX Capital.

"Though European markets have eased from the highs reached in past session, the bias still remains somewhat positive with euro friendly news providing the lift across Europe," he said.

Investors were also showing caution following some strong gains over the past few days as markets hope for central bank action in the US and Europe this week. The Federal Reserve kicks off its two-day policy meeting today, while the European Central Bank (ECB) will reveal its decision on Thursday.

While the consensus is for the Fed to hold off on QE3, many are expecting the ECB to resume bond-buying after its President Mario Draghi said last week that the bank will do "whatever it takes to preserve the euro...and believe me, it will be big enough".

In other news, the GfK UK consumer confidence index was unchanged at -29 in July, in line with consensus forecasts. IHS economist, Dr Howard Archer, said consumers' pessimism currently seems deeply ingrained.

"This reinforces the belief that it is unrealistic to expect a sustained appreciable pick-up in consumer spending in the near term at least even if it does receive significant support in the very near term from the Olympics and (hopefully) some better weather," he said.

FTSE 100: BP, Weir and Fresnillo fall; but miners broadly higher

Weaker oil and gas prices and a cut in output due to an extensive maintenance programme hit BP's profits hard in the second quarter. Shares were down nearly 4% by midday.

Scottish engineering firm Weir tumbled after advising that full-year profits are likely to come in below market expectations if there is no pick-up in the upstream Oil & Gas markets.

Mexico-focused precious metals miner Fresnillo dropped after being hit by the falling price of silver and reduced ore quality, leading to a significant fall in first-half profits.

However, the wider trend in the mining sector was positive, with Vedanta, Rio Tinto, Xstrata, Randgold, Glencore and Polymetal making good gains. Polymetal, Vedanta and Xstrata impressed with their second-quarter and first-half production reports this morning.

UK banking groups Barclays and RBS were heavy fallers after earnings from their European counterparts UBS and Deutsche Bank came up short of forecasts.

FTSE 250: Elementis leads risers, Petra disappoints

Results from speciality chemicals group Elementis galvanised the share price after the cash-rich group announced plans to return surplus funds to shareholders on a regular basis. Profit before tax in the first half of 2012 rose 12% to $79.0m from $70.6m the year before, on the back of a marginal improvement in revenue to $401.3m from $396.0m in the first half of 2011.

Petra Diamonds slumped despite full-year revenues jumping, as the company said that the rough diamond market is "expected to remain under pressure in the short term".

FTSE 100 - Risers
Vedanta Resources (VED) 969.00p +4.42%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 2,988.50p +1.75%
Xstrata (XTA) 859.10p +1.74%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 5,895.00p +1.55%
Glencore International (GLEN) 322.95p +1.43%
GKN (GKN) 213.50p +1.18%
Royal Dutch Shell 'B' (RDSB) 2,272.00p +1.05%
Polymetal International (POLY) 895.50p +1.02%
Royal Dutch Shell 'A' (RDSA) 2,192.00p +0.94%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 184.05p +0.85%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
BP (BP.) 426.50p -4.04%
Sage Group (SGE) 288.70p -3.41%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,652.00p -3.05%
CRH (CRH) 1,202.00p -2.36%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,881.00p -2.18%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,177.00p -2.11%
Intertek Group (ITRK) 2,784.00p -2.04%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 218.10p -1.85%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,480.50p -1.66%
Barclays (BARC) 168.05p -1.47%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Elementis (ELM) 206.50p +3.25%
Ruspetro (RPO) 146.40p +2.23%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 119.60p +2.22%
Hiscox Ltd. (HSX) 444.50p +1.95%
Rathbone Brothers (RAT) 1,294.00p +1.89%
Tullett Prebon (TLPR) 272.10p +1.80%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 3,002.00p +1.80%
Domino Printing Sciences (DNO) 547.00p +1.77%
Dignity (DTY) 859.00p +1.66%
EnQuest (ENQ) 113.10p +1.44%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 105.80p -4.08%
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 586.50p -3.54%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 673.00p -3.10%
Inchcape (INCH) 378.60p -2.62%
Cape (CIU) 289.50p -2.36%
Diploma (DPLM) 410.10p -2.36%
Man Group (EMG) 80.30p -2.31%
Yule Catto & Co (YULC) 140.90p -2.22%
Shanks Group (SKS) 78.35p -2.06%
Atkins (WS) (ATK) 740.50p -1.99%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Dignity: N+1 Brewin upgrades to add, target raised from 880p to 950p.

Wolfson: Numis downgrades to hold, target cut from 250p to 210p.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

FREE SHARE TIP OF THE DAY

Silvermere Energy: Looking to acquire a stake in an oil producing asset in New Mexico

A report by Growth Equities & Company Research

  • First commercial sales from the I-1 well as Mustand Island expected in late August 2012.
  • Currently evaluating possible acquisition of a producing oil asset in New Mexico.
  • Looking at 2P reserves at Mustand Island alone allows us to determine a target price of 22p.


Click here to view the rest of the article


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Falkland Oil & Gas

HSBA

Hi Wave Technologies

Ruspetro

Running trading thread

Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members


BOOK OF THE WEEK

One Up Wall Street: How to use what you already know to make money in the market

By Peter Lynch and John Rothchild

A book review by Ross Jones

From when Lynch took over the management of Fidelity's Magellan Fund in 1977, until his departure in 1990 he delivered his investors an annualised return of 29.2%, outperforming the benchmark US markets by 13.4%, growing funds under management from $18 million to circa $14 billion. This is pretty spectacular and warrants investigation into how this was achieved.

Click here to view the rest of the article

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ShareCrazy Poll
Which will be the first country to leave the Euro ?

Germany
Greece
Portugal
Ireland
None will leave

View Results
 
 
 
 



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