Kumaresan Selvaraj pillai


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Monday, July 16, 2012

| 07.16.12 | Charges stand against Ex-Citigroup MD

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July 16, 2012
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Today's Top Stories
1. Wells Fargo beats estimates
2. More energy market investigations likely
3. Charges stand against Ex-Citigroup MD
4. LIBOR fines to hit big banks hard
5. Criminal charges possible in LIBOR scandal

Editor's Corner: Volcker Rule deadline fast approaching

Also Noted: Spotlight On... Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley stock to be volatile
Buffett says JPMorgan's reputation intact; Zuckerberg speaks after IPO; and much more...

News From the Fierce Network:
1. Finra conflicted on Facebook mess
2. Profile: Joseph Saluzzi and Sal Arnuk
3. More on the NYSE dark pool service


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Webinar | Big Data and next-era business intelligence
July 24th, 2012 2 pm ET / 11 am PT

The business intelligence movement has taken hold in every industry, especially the financial services industry. The problem these days, however, is the sheer amount of relevant data that exists. Join FierceFinance editor, Jim Kim, and a panel of industry experts as they look at what Big Data analytics means today and where it’s headed. Register Now!



Editor's Corner

Volcker Rule deadline fast approaching

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn


We've hit the moment of truth when it comes to the much-discussed Volcker Rule.

According to Dodd-Frank, the rule is scheduled to be implemented on July 21, which is just around the corner. But the specifics have yet to be finalized, and it's unclear exactly what the new rule set will look like. To be sure, it looks like we're in for some delays, once again, as no one expects the rule to released and implement within a week!

The big issue remains a dicey one, and it's a questoin of, how regulators and banks deal with proprietary trading activities that will be permitted under the law, notably legitimate position hedging and market making.

There are a couple of paths that might be taken. In October, the regulators released a proposed version of the rule, which was widely panned by the industry for being overly prescriptive. (It was also rapped for being somewhat vague about how to carve out the exemptions.) There's little doubt the industry would rather develop policies and systems for keeping such trading in line, and have these policies be regularly reviewed by  regulators.

My sense is that that approach will win the day--eventually. For now, however, the industry remains in limbo when it comes to these critical issues. But that's not necessarily a bad place to be. Indeed, a big change politically could be in the offing. A Republican surge could change the dynamic significantly. -Jim




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> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012
> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London
> Public Funds Summit East - July 23-25 2012 - Newport Marriott, Newport, RI
> NYIF Introduction to Private Equity Investments - July 19-20 - New York, NY
> NYIF Portfolio Management Program - August 8-17 - New York, NY
> BAI Retail Delivery Conference & Expo - October 9-11 - Washington, DC
> NYIF Advanced Alternative Investments - October 3-4 - New York, NY

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Today's Top News

1. Wells Fargo beats estimates

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Wells Fargo & Company beat analysts' expectations for the second quarter, reporting Q2 net income of $4.6 billion (a record for the bank), or $0.82 per share. This is up from $3.9 billion, or $0.70 per share, a year ago and an increase of $4.2 billion, or $0.75 per share, over first quarter results.

Analysts were expecting roughly $0.81 per share for the second quarter. Revenue was $21.3 billion in the second quarter, compared with $21.6 billion in first quarter 2012--one of the few banks most likely that will be able to show year-over-year revenue increases.

The big driver was the bank's consumer operations, which was the biggest contributor to earnings year over year by far. Wholesale banking earnings declined, while wealth management earnings -- a very small part of the overall earnings pie -- rose a bit. Revenues from the community banking segment rose to $13.1 billion from $12.6 billion year over year; however, on a sequential basis revenues declined.

Mortgage operations were strong in the second quarter, as expected. Originations hit $131 billion, up from $129 billion in prior quarter. Applications hit of $208 billion, compared with $188 billion in prior quarter. The application pipeline stood at $102 billion at quarter end, compared with $79 billion at the end of the first quarter.

The bank remains relatively unencumbered by the sort of trading and investment banking weakness that will weigh heavier on other big banks.

For more:
- here's the results

Related articles:
Analyst bullish on Wells Fargo

 

Read more about: earnings, Wells Fargo
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2. More energy market investigations likely

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

What does the investigation of possible manipulation by JPMorgan in the power market means for other banks and trading entities?

It means that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) now feels newly empowered to police the massive market much more aggressively. In February, FERC created a division within its enforcement office--the Division of Analytics and Surveillance, run by Lee Ann Watson, a lawyer who previously worked in the agency's investigations group--to police the markets, where electricity is bought and sold by power generators and utilities.

A 2005 overhaul of U.S. energy policy, passed after the collapse of energy trader Enron Corp., gave the agency the authority to fine companies as much as $1 million a day per violation, a vast increase in the agency's enforcement powers," according to Bloomberg. The new 45-person enforcement division aims to use deep analytics to spot signs of market manipulation.

So far, the commission's investigations have helped lead to $302.4 million in civil penalties and repayment of $155.4 million in unjust profits. Their key ally in this endeavor may be grid operators, who were instrumental in providing information that led to the FERC's investigation of JPMorgan. Other bulge bracket firms have also become big energy market traders, and they would be wise to start internally probing such operations. Self-reporting may do wonders right about now.

For more:
- here's the article

 

 

Read more about: fraud, Investigations
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3. Charges stand against Ex-Citigroup MD

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

The trial of Brian Stoker must go on. And who is Brian Stoker?

Recall that the SEC charged the former Citigroup mid-level executive, alleging that he had been the key bank manager for the Class V Funding III CDO transaction, and had been principally responsible for its marketing materials. Such marketing material, the SEC charged, failed to disclose Citigroup's role "in choosing the underlying debt, though a unit of Credit Suisse Group AG was acting as collateral manager, and concealed the $500 million short position," recounts Reuters.

A federal judge, no less than Judge Jed Rakoff, has ruled that a jury should decide if Stoker's actions violated the law. So as it appears now, both Stoker and of course Fabrice Tourre--the only Goldman Sachs executive charged by the SEC in the massive CDO case that the bank settled in July 2010 for a record $550 million--will stand trial.

There was a time when the trial of Tourre loomed as a fascinating, must-attend event. It promised to shed a light on the inner working of the big, controversial bank with the possibility that some high-level executives at the bank would be called to the stand. But as the CDO marketing scandal recedes into the past, the upcoming trials seem less compelling. Frankly, that may have been part of the bank's legal strategy--to stretch out the proceedings to the point that no one cares any longer.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
SEC charges Citigroup, employee in CDO case

Read more about: Citigroup, fraud
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4. LIBOR fines to hit big banks hard

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

After Barclays announced it had agreed to settle charges that it fraudulently manipulated the LIBOR process for $456 billion, a whopping sum, analysts have been trying to figure out how much other banks will be forced to pay.

So far, 12 banks are implicated in on-going investigations regarding LIBOR and TIBOR around the globe, and according to a new analysis from Morgan Stanley, the combined tally could hit $22 billion.

The Financial Times notes that, "Morgan Stanley's analysis is the most detailed effort so far to quantify the potential damage from the scandal.... The estimated fines would cut 4-13 percent off banks' earnings per share for 2012, or 0.5 percent off book value, Morgan Stanley said. The analysis also puts a value on the potential risk from class action lawsuits. Each of the banks named would pay an average $400m, with individual charges ranging from $60m to $1.1bn, depending on the size of their derivatives books. The analysis assumes most of the other 11 banks will admit to roughly similar behaviour and will not receive the same discount as Barclays for early co-operation."

That raises the prospect that other banks will pay bigger fines, assuming they were not cooperating along with Barclays. That said, the evidence against other banks may not be as strong. There's still a lot of uncertainty around this, but banks will likely be forced to reserve against this fairly soon.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Barclays' settlement strategy backfires
Massive losses predicted from LIBOR suits

 

Read more about: LIBOR Scandal
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5. Criminal charges possible in LIBOR scandal

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Prosecutors are likely licking their chops as the LIBOR scandal continues to unfold.

To be sure, multiple probes into LIBOR (and TIBOR) manipulation have been underway in various countries for some time. Some may be sensing that an opportunity to finally charge specific individuals at banks with criminal violations of law may be at hand. This may the last opportunity for federal prosecutors, who have been pilloried by some critics of the industry for their inability to bring federal charges against executives.

The New York Times notes a letter sent to financial regulators and Attorney General Eric Holder by Democratic senators expressing "concern that some of the world's biggest banks were rigging a rate that affected how consumers and companies borrow money."

The Justice Department has said little beyond disclosing that a criminal investigation into wrongdoing surrounding Libor is underway. But here's the tantalizing fact: Barclays was cooperating aggressively with the bank and was therefore entitled to lenient treatment. That suggests that the treatment of other banks will be that much more harsh. Criminal charges are indeed a possibility.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Massive losses predicted from LIBOR suits
LIBOR scandal might lead to criminal charges

Read more about: LIBOR Scandal, Criminal Chares
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Also Noted

SPOTLIGHT ON... Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley stock to be volatile

Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. analyst Brad Hintz, a former CFO at Lehman Brothers, has issued research noting that Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both trade at compelling valuation, but could be whipped around by woes being suffered by European banks, with whom they are highly correlated. The "bumpy ride" may be worth it for some, given that both trade below book value. Both stocks are down for the year, and analysts have been busy paring expectations for the second quarter. Article

Company News:
> Buffett: JPMorgan's reputation intact. Article
> Ross raises $2.2 billion for fund. Article
> JPMorgan lowers commodity risk. Article
> Peregrine has 2 months to wind down. Article
> Dimon fights to restore confidence. Article
> Morgan Stanley lowers yields on CMBS deal. Article
> Ina Drew's severance at issue. Article
> Mortgage apps strong at Wells Fargo. Article
> More on JPMorgan's bad trade. Article
Industry News:
> Zuckerberg speaks after IPO. Article
> More cities to go bankrupt. Article
Regulatory News:
> Treasury proposed changes to LIBOR in 2008. Article
And Finally…Nexus 7 v s. Kindle. Article


Events


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> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012

This conference provides a unique environment for developing dialogue between plan sponsors, managers and consultants. This event will feature panel-driven discussions focused on specific investment techniques of fixed income and hedge fund managers, the evolving role of institutional consultants, the manager evaluation process and more. Register today.

> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London

Come and join MasterCard, Renfe, Deutsche Bahn, Visa Europe, Orange, Arriva Netherlands, O2 and many more for the first event to bring together the whole NFC Ticketing industry for discussion, debate and quality networking. Click here.

> Public Funds Summit East - July 23-25 2012 - Newport Marriott, Newport, RI

Opal Financial Group's annual public funds conference will address issues that are most critical to the investment success of senior public pension fund officers and trustees. It will cover how surplus returns should affect employee benefit plans, the processes for selection and evaluation of investment managers, legal concerns with fund investment and management policies as well as the benefits and pitfalls of a wide variety of investment strategies. Register today.

> NYIF Introduction to Private Equity Investments - July 19-20 - New York, NY

This course shows the potential rewards and risks within the context of portfolio theory. In addition to discussing the investment characteristics, attendees compare private equity investments to traditional stock and bond investments. Comparisons are also made to commodities and real estate investments. Register today and discover key regulatory requirements, marketing issues, and client reporting practices.

> NYIF Portfolio Management Program - August 8-17 - New York, NY

This program is a challenging, but rewarding, eight-day educational experience. Consisting of three modules: a three-day Fixed Income Portfolio Management class, a three-day Equity Portfolio Management class, and a two-day Theory & Practice class, these modules blend traditional lectures, case studies, and site visits, and all attendees will receive a Texas Instruments BA II Plus calculator and a tablet or Netbook to contribute to their learning experience. Register now.

> BAI Retail Delivery Conference & Expo - October 9-11 - Washington, DC

BAI Retail Delivery 2012, taking place October 9-11 in Washington, DC, brings together the industry’s best ideas, insights and solutions to help you rebuild profitability. With more than 200 exhibitors, it is the industry’s premier retail banking event. Register now at www.BAIRetailDelivery.com.

> NYIF Advanced Alternative Investments - October 3-4 - New York, NY

This advanced course gives an investment approach for evaluating the opportunities and pitfalls of alternative investments. Alternative investments discussed include real estate, hedge funds, venture capital, private equity, commodities, as well as some other specialized areas such as collectibles, entertainment financing and hypertrading. While this course covers some of the basics, it revolves around examples and discussions in class in order to enrich the knowledge of this topic. Register today.



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