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Thursday, August 2, 2012

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Thursday 2 August 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

I think any man in business would be foolish to fool around with his secretary. If it's somebody else's secretary, fine
- Barry Goldwater


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,733.33

20.51   0.36%

FTSE 250

11,188.40

2.21   0.02%

FTSE 350

3,039.54

9.55   0.32%



FTSE All Share

2,972.51

9.22   0.31%

AIM 100

3,013.71

4.54   0.15%

AIM All Share

669.83

0.40   0.06%


11:54 am

BoE holds fire; all eyes now on the ECB

- BoE maintains rates, QE
- ECB decision in focus
- RBS lower on nationalisation speculation

While the policy-makers at the Bank of England (BoE) did what most were expecting - leaving interest rates and quantitative easing (QE) unchanged - UK stocks were trading firmly higher on Thursday morning as investors looked to the European Central Bank (ECB) to provide a well-needed boost to the struggling Eurozone economy.

The BoE's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) maintained its Bank Rate at 0.5% and its asset purchase programme at GBP375bn today. The decisions were widely expected by economists in spite of the BoE hinting at a potential rate cut at its last meeting. The current QE programme is due to run until November; analysts at Barclays Capital are expecting the central bank to wait until then before making any changes.

However, the big event of the day will most likely be the ECB's policy decision and following press conference this afternoon. Last week, ECB President Mario Draghi said that he was prepared to do do "whatever it takes to preserve the euro...and believe me, it will be big enough".

"Today, ECB President Draghi will restate his commitment to intervening in the sovereign-debt market if needed. For the time being, however, the ECB will probably prefer other measures (involving EFSF money) being adopted," said analysts at UniCredit this morning in an e-mailed report.

Stateside, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee yesterday decided to leave all its main policy settings unchanged, including most of the language employed in its post-meeting statement. While Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke noted that the recovery had lost momentum - leading to suggestions that more QE may be on the way - analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said this morning: "Bernanke's comments appeared very similar to those of the previous meetings and with the Fed reaffirming their commitment to Operation Twist until the end of the year, I'd be surprised to see QE3 announced next month."

FTSE 100: RBS down on nationalisation rumours; Schroders and Smith & Nephew gain

According to the Financial Times, the government is considering buying up the remaining shares in Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) that it does not already own in an effort to kick start lending to businesses. The paper claims ministers are becoming "exasperated" that the bank, which is 83% owned by the taxpayer, is not lending enough to the British economy.

Asset manager Schroders advanced after reporting an increase in assets under management over the first half; however, profits slipped year-on-year.

Medical devices specialist Smith & Nephew rose despite reporting a slight decline in second-quarter trading profit and revenue, as it whacked up its dividend, embarking on a progressive dividend policy on the back of the success of its recent restructuring.

Heading the other way was temporary power and temperature control group Aggreko after its first-half figures. Investec analysts said this morning that the results were "excellent" but the lack of upgrades to consensus forecasts are likely to disappoint.

Also lower was defence contractor BAE Systems which is suffering from reduced military spending in both the US and UK, while a crucial fighter jet deal with Saudi Arabia has been hit by delays. First-half sales were down 11%.

FTSE 250: Spirent and Ophir provide a drag

Communications technology firm Spirent Communications was heavy faller after it cautioned that overall growth in the second half may reduce to mid- to low-single digit increase amid ongoing macro-economic uncertainty.

High-flying Ophir Energy also disappointed the market as it revealed its gas discovery at the Papa-1 well off the coast of Tanzania is likely to contain lower recoverable resources than it had hoped for.

Leading the upside was industrial property group SEGRO after saying that pre-tax profits gained 5.3% in the first half despite net rental income falling by 3.4%. The firm also reported today that it has completed the sale of a portfolio of 10 non-core UK industrial estates for GBP110m.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Schroders (SDR) 1,338.00p +3.56%
Smith & Nephew (SN.) 677.00p +2.65%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 5,775.00p +1.67%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,155.00p +1.67%
BP (BP.) 434.85p +1.59%
HSBC Holdings (HSBA) 549.10p +1.57%
Barclays (BARC) 170.80p +1.49%
RSA Insurance Group (RSA) 111.60p +1.45%
Next (NXT) 3,475.00p +1.40%
Royal Dutch Shell 'A' (RDSA) 2,228.00p +1.32%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 212.20p -1.49%
BT Group (BT.A) 215.90p -1.33%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 853.00p -1.27%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,096.00p -1.13%
IMI (IMI) 824.00p -1.08%
BAE Systems (BA.) 309.20p -1.02%
Vedanta Resources (VED) 961.00p -0.98%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 275.20p -0.97%
Serco Group (SRP) 580.50p -0.94%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,902.50p -0.91%

FTSE 250 - Risers
SEGRO (SGRO) 240.10p +5.86%
Halfords Group (HFD) 208.90p +2.65%
Brown (N.) Group (BWNG) 268.00p +2.41%
Henderson Group (HGG) 100.30p +2.35%
Ted Baker (TED) 900.00p +2.27%
FirstGroup (FGP) 235.10p +2.13%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 699.50p +2.12%
International Personal Finance (IPF) 290.80p +2.11%
Carpetright (CPR) 599.00p +1.96%
BH Global Ltd. USD Shares (BHGU) 11.47 +1.96%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Spirent Communications (SPT) 143.80p -14.66%
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 538.50p -7.55%
Aquarius Platinum Ltd. (AQP) 35.56p -4.66%
Avocet Mining (AVM) 82.10p -2.96%
Kentz Corporation Ltd. (KENZ) 369.00p -2.64%
Cookson Group (CKSN) 543.50p -2.60%
Laird (LRD) 220.80p -1.95%
Hunting (HTG) 773.00p -1.78%
Dairy Crest Group (DCG) 334.30p -1.68%
Bumi (BUMI) 342.40p -1.61%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Drax: AlphaValue downgrades to reduce

Next: UBS raises target from 3,500p to 3,750p, buy rating kept; Investec keeps buy rating and 3,680p target; HSBC downgrades to neutral

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Ariana Resources

Wolf Mineral

BTG

Fiberweb

Running trading thread

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BOOK OF THE WEEK

One Up Wall Street: How to use what you already know to make money in the market

By Peter Lynch and John Rothchild

A book review by Ross Jones

From when Lynch took over the management of Fidelity's Magellan Fund in 1977, until his departure in 1990 he delivered his investors an annualised return of 29.2%, outperforming the benchmark US markets by 13.4%, growing funds under management from $18 million to circa $14 billion. This is pretty spectacular and warrants investigation into how this was achieved.

Click here to view the rest of the article

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