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Tuesday, August 7, 2012

| 08.07.12 | Dubious distinction for Knight Capital

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August 7, 2012
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Today's Top Stories
1. KBW weighs in break up debate
2. Knight Capital's survival chances soar
3. Where were the humans in Knight Capital incident?
4. Banks lobby to preserve TAG
5. Founder-led buyout in the works at Best Buy

Editor's Corner: Dubious distinction for Knight Capital

Also Noted: Kaseya
Spotlight On... Swiss banks face bleak future
JPMorgan's new head of card services; Bank loans peak and much more...

News From the Fierce Network:
1. More macro funds might consider retuning funds
2. Founder-led buyout in the works at Best Buy
3. SEC wants to increase fines


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Editor's Corner

Dubious distinction for Knight Capital

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn


Knight Capital came very close to becoming the only Wall Street firm to be forced into bankruptcy court by a computer glitch.

The developers responsible for the code should feel some responsibility for this, and you have to wonder what's going on internally to get to the bottom of how this happened. It's unfathomable to many that a company could lose $440 million in a matter of 30 minutes, yet that is the question that haunts the markets right now.

Knight Capital CEO Thomas Joyce said in an interview with Reuters that he does not believe any market rules were broken last Wednesday when the software glitch ran amuck and caused Knight Capital to make thousands of unintended purchases that cost it so dearly. The company tried to get the SEC to allow it to simply cancel those trades, but the SEC was having none of that. All told, it wouldn't surprise anyone if an inquiry found that no laws were broken.

Indeed, that's what's so scary. There's really nothing to prevent this from happening again. The company has lined up a slate of new investors led by Getco, Jefferies, Blackstone Group, TD Ameritrade, Stephens and Stifel Nicolaus. Collectively, they may have saved the company, but the effect of the bug may prove powerful still.

JP Morgan analyst Kenneth Worthington, in a client note wrote that, "We don't expect investors to value Knight as an ongoing entity given its technology glitch generated a pretax loss equal to (about) 30 percent of shareholders equity and nearly wiped out the company in just 30-45 minutes of trading."

He believes that "investors were likely to assign any value to the company based on the worth of its parts and the likelihood of their sale. He cited the reverse mortgage lender Urban Financial and foreign exchange platform Hotspot FX as assets that could draw interest," according to Reuters.

So the bug may yet spell the end of capital as we know it. I maintain that it would help reassure the markets if the company were to release detailed information about what exactly what went wrong.-Jim

Read more about: Knight Capital
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Events

> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012
> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London
> NYIF Core Skills Analyst Program - October 22- November 16 - New York, NY
> NFC Payments USA Unites NFC Experts in Boston Once Again - October 29-30 - Boston, MA
> Investment Trends Summit - September 12-14, 2012 - The Four Seasons, The Biltmore - Santa Barbara, CA
> The Mobile Wallet Summit - November 28-29 - London
> NYIF Essentials of Project and Infrastructure Finance - September 10-12 - New York, NY

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Today's Top News

1. KBW weighs in break up debate

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

TheStreet.com notes that the pro-break-up crowd has picked up another adherent: Keefe Bruyette & Woods CEO Thomas Michaud.

He argued this week that, "I think the market's telling us that it has to happen. If you look at the six universal banks in the country and you pull out Wells Fargo, the remaining five trade at 65 percent of tangible book value…These are the biggest banks in the nation and I think that's unsustainable. Either the banks' performance has to get better or if book value's real they're going to have to realize it on behalf of shareholders."

The twist is that he's looking toward a gradual break up, not a massive one-shot break up. This is not the same as the breakup of Standard Oil or AT&T, which in the face of a court order, broke itself up into Baby Bells. What is more likely for the banking industry is a de facto, over-time winnowing down to core business lines.

One has to ask at this point what exactly defines a break up. For one of the top universal banks to be considered truly "broken up," what would be required? Some would argue that you could sell off all extraneous assets and that would be akin to a break up. Others might argue that the sine qua non of a bank break up would the separation of commercial and investment banking.

There may be some intermediate definitions that reside somewhere in between.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Many ex-executives now favor bank break ups
Ex-Wells Fargo CEO weighs in on break-ups
Mike Mayo: Morgan Stanley worth more broken up

Read more about: Bank break ups
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2. Knight Capital's survival chances soar

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

It was a touch-and-go for days, but it looks now like Knight Capital will survive.

The beleaguered market maker was said to be closing in on a deal with a consortium that included Blackstone Group, General Atlantic, TD Ameritrade and others. The plan calls for the White Knights to invest an undisclosed amount, receiving convertible preferred securities that give them the right to buy new common shares at $1.50 each, according to DealBook

The rescue package was arranged by the Jefferies Group and will significantly alter the ownership structure of the firm, with the White Knights owning roughly 70 percent. Such is the price of survival.

There are still a lot of questions to be answered, such as the exact terms of the investment. There's no doubt the White Knights will enjoy a souped-up coupon, not unlike Warren Buffet when he rode to the rescue of Goldman Sachs at the depths of the financial crisis, and Matsushita when it invested in Morgan Stanley.

One issue will also be the extent to which TD Ameritrade will wield influence at Knight Capital and whether it will seek advantages over the other retail brokerages that send trades to Knight. Other retail brokerages have reason to be concerned.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Update: Knight Capital lines up financing
Knight Capital fights for survival

Read more about: Market Maker, Knight Capital
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3. Where were the humans in Knight Capital incident?

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

If the shocking $440 million in losses had ended up killing Knight Capital, the market maker would have earned the dubious distinction of becoming the first firm be put out of business by a computer glitch.

While Knight Capital will survive, it has a lot of questions to answer. The New York Times raises an obvious question: Why did the firm allow the computer program to run wild for so long?

"When computerized stock trading runs amok, as it did this week on Wall Street, the firm responsible typically can jump in and hit a kill switch. But as a torrent of faulty trades spewed Wednesday morning from a Knight Capital Group trading program, no one at the firm managed to stop it for more than a half-hour.  Some Knight employees and New York Stock Exchange officials noticed the blizzard of erratic orders in the minutes after trading started and sent alarmed messages to Knight managers."

The SEC will take a hard look at this. While most of the regulatory discussion has revolved around the technology implications of algorithmic techniques, such issues cannot be wholly separated from human action. The issue of basic competence has to be explored.

Obviously, risk management practices at Knight were substandard, allowing the programs to run wild. The question of course is how to remedy this. Will regulators ask to review code and specific program upgrade plans? This is a tricky area to be sure. The industry needs to get its act together pronto.

For more:
- here's the article

Related articles:
Knight Capital pegs losses at $440 million
Knight Capital glitch triggers wild stock swings

Read more about: Market Maker, Knight Capital
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4. Banks lobby to preserve TAG

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

It's tempting these days to think that the lengthy process of bailing out banks with public funds is winding down, but there are some stubborn reminders that that's not always the case.

Think of all the banks that have yet to repay their TARP obligations. Add to that the Transaction Account Guarantee (TAG) program, which insures all bank deposits in checking accounts above the $250,000 coverage already provided by the FDIC. Recall that the TAG program was born in the 2008 financial crisis by bank regulators to help to reassure business depositors that their bank deposits were safe. In 2010, Congress extended the TAG program through the end of 2012.

This has been a huge source of comfort to small business, municipal governments and of course small banks, which hold about $1.3 trillion of TAG-insured deposits. But the program is set to expire at the end of 2012, a fact that has prompted banks to start lobbying for yet another extension.

The Independent Community Bankers of America "insists that business lending in distressed communities depends on the program," notes Reuters.  

The banks have a powerful argument, but "time is not on the bankers' side on this issue. Only about three weeks of legislative days are left to craft an extension of the TAG insurance program before the presidential election."

The best bet is for the lobbyists to succeed in attaching the extension to a winning bill, but that has yet to happen. The bank lobby has a lot on the line.

For more:
- here's the article

 

 

Read more about: banks, Lobbying
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5. Founder-led buyout in the works at Best Buy

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Richard Schulze, who stepped down from the board of Best Buy in June, has offered to take the ailing retailer private.

He has offered to pay Best Buy shareholders $24 to $26 for each of their shares, according to a letter sent to the board. The offer represents a premium of roughly 30 to 45 percent over the company's share price.

Schulze has been dismayed at what has become of the firm, which has been struggling to beat back Amazon and other online retailers, and has been in talks with several private equity firms, though he has not revealed which ones. He intends to finance the deal through "a combination of investments from the private equity firms, reinvestment of approximately $1 billion of his own equity, and debt financing."

Credit Suisse, Schulze's financial advisor, has informed him it is "highly confident"--now there's a term that will ring nostalgic for many of old guard bankers--it can arrange the necessary debt financing. Schulze has also held discussions with former Best Buy executives, including former CEO Brad Anderson and former President and COO Allen Lenzmeier,  whom he suggests might rejoin the company.

In Schulze's view, the only way to save the company is to operate it as a private entity, though at some point a more specific strategy will be called for. The industry certainly hopes that this will spark something of a movement. The conditions are ripe for more such deals, as financial would appear to be sufficient and PE firms have enough dry powder at their disposal. The strategic need in some cases may also be compelling.

For more:
- here's the letter
- here's a CNN article

Related articles:
Private equity industry grows
Private equity deals scarce in 2012

Read more about: lbo, deals
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Also Noted

This week's sponsor is Kaseya.

Ten Effective Habits of Indispensable IT Departments
It's no secret that responsibilities are growing while budgets continue to shrink. Enact these ten IT habits throughout your financial institution to help you cut costs, create operational efficiencies and align IT to business goals. Download Today!


SPOTLIGHT ON... Swiss banks face bleak future

The vaunted secrecy by Swiss banks has been irreparably pierced. Once the tax regulators were able to make such strong in-roads, wealthy customer have generally been less keen to see numbered account at Swiss banks as a haven from authorities. That has presented some existential questions for the likes of UBS and others. Bloomberg notes that EFG International last month reported outflows from continental Europe in the first half, while net new money from private clients at Vontobel fell 86 percent to 100 million francs from a year earlier. Article

Company News:
> PHLX delays floor opening. Article
> JPMorgan names new head of card services. Article
> T. Rowe Price sees fight over new bonds. Article
> S&P downgrades 15 banks. Article
> ICBC seeks Hong Kong unit growing. Article
> Banks win with Facebook structured bets. Article
Industry News:
> Knight Capital and bank break ups. Article
> Bank loans at peak. Article
> Banks eye each other in Libor probe. Article
> Big compliance costs for small banks. Article
> Lots of bank robberies in Houston. Article
Regulatory News:
> Pessimism on post-Knight reform. Article
> MasterCard files appeal in Europe on card fees. Article

And Finally…Apple vs. Samsung a slugfest. Article


Events


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* General ad info: Click here.

> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012

This conference provides a unique environment for developing dialogue between plan sponsors, managers and consultants. This event will feature panel-driven discussions focused on specific investment techniques of fixed income and hedge fund managers, the evolving role of institutional consultants, the manager evaluation process and more. Register today.

> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London

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> NYIF Core Skills Analyst Program - October 22- November 16 - New York, NY

Bringing together core finance concepts and theories, this program is a challenging and rewarding experience for entry-level analysts, finance and investment professionals seeking to enhance their skill set. Real-life case studies supplement the hands-on learning experience, providing a wealth of practical knowledge to take back to the workplace. The program provides four weeks of intensive training in accounting (optional), corporate finance, credit risk and financial modeling. Register today.

> NFC Payments USA Unites NFC Experts in Boston Once Again - October 29-30 - Boston, MA

NFC Payments USA (Oct 29-30th)is back for its second year, hosting 150 senior level delegates to debate industry challenges and facilitate the roll out of NFC payments. Speakers include Best Buy, PayPal, Verizon, Barclaycard, T-Mobile, Best Buy, VISA, Capital One, MasterCard. Click here for more information.

> Investment Trends Summit - September 12-14, 2012 - The Four Seasons, The Biltmore - Santa Barbara, CA

The Investment Trends Summit is an educational forum focused on analyzing trends for the future, and exploring ways to implement new strategies in investment plans. Speakers and attendees will discuss topics such as investor's perspectives, investment management theories, and more. Register Today!

> The Mobile Wallet Summit - November 28-29 - London

The Mobile Wallet Summit is the only show that looks at the future of mobile transactions. It brings together every industry you find in your physical wallet, loyalty, identity, ticketing and payments and provides a forum for debate on how they will fit on your mobile.

> NYIF Essentials of Project and Infrastructure Finance - September 10-12 - New York, NY

This is a practical course that provides executives, whether as financiers, sponsors, or professional support, an opportunity to understand the risk-return character of limited recourse projects from multiple perspectives. Case studies span a variety of sectors and geographical regions. This course will not use in-depth models involving Excel™, but the instructor (a broad-based finance and investment executive with global experience throughout the U.S., Europe and the emerging markets of Latin America and Asia who has negotiated numerous transactions, including mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, mezzanine financings, international bank syndications, corporate valuations and fairness opinions) will review modeling approaches with examples. Register today.



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> Whitepaper: Ten Effective Habits of Indispensable IT Departments

It's no secret that responsibilities are growing while budgets continue to shrink. Enact these ten IT habits throughout your financial institution to help you cut costs, create operational efficiencies and align IT to business goals. Download Today!

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