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Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Is the 'Trend' Only an Acquaintance? asks Malcolm Stacey in the ShareCrazy Dawn Call

Read Malcolm Stacey, Tip of the Day, the Book of the Week, and today's papers
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Wednesday 26 September 2012
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY

Is the 'Trend' Only an Acquaintance?

Hello Share Mates,

The Footsie moves in patterns and it might help to recognise the main ones. The trick of course is guessing when the patterns will start and when they will change. And that is not so easy as recognising them.

But let's have a go at the recognition bit. The big jump comes on days when there is a blinding bit of good news. It could be that yet another initiative has been announced to try and save the Euro. Though this kind of story is getting a bit thin now.

Or it might be that American growth has suddenly put on a big spurt (big hopes!) Or that unemployment has dropped like a stone in the UK. Now, the Footsie will obviously see a big jump on the news - and in the old days, we could expect the big 100 index to climb for a few days after that.

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TIP OF THE DAY

Intandem Films: Further adds to Film Slate

A report by GECR

  • Intandem Films has announced it has been appointed as worldwide sales company and is to distribute in the UK British comedy film 'Jadoo', which is currently in post-production.
  • This adds to a burgeoning slate of films for the international film company which offers the services of executive production and international sales.
  • The recently launched UK distribution arm is led by Robert Mitchell, who was fundamental in the setting up of the renowned Buena Vista UK (part of Walt Disney) and has been responsible for numerous UK box office successes including comedies such as 'When Harry Met Sally' and 'Calendar Girls', and Terry Dove, a former 20th Century Fox executive who has been involved in a series of major film releases including 'Titanic', 'X-Men' and 'The Full Monty'.
  • Investment into the business and some delays in the existing slate see reductions to our near-term earnings projections - but even on the revised current year numbers the rating continues to look much too harsh and we continue to rate the shares a long-term buy.


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Paper round

Arctic oil, patents, SNB ...

French oil giant Total has warned against drilling for oil in the Arctic, the FT reports. Christophe de Margerie, Total's chief executive, told the Financial Times the risk of an oil spill in such an environmentally sensitive area was simply too high. 'Oil on Greenland would be a disaster,' he said in an interview. 'A leak would do too much damage to the image of the company.'

With two parties in government, there are twice as many opportunities for ministers to toss out hare-brained schemes to the conference faithful on how to promote growth, suggests Ian King, the Business Editor at The Times. Most never get off the ground, King believes. He suggests the Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, should widen the scope of plans for a 'patent box' to include software, a sector in which the UK is historically strong. The sector is largely excluded because it uses other forms of intellectual property to win commercial protection. King notes that Aveva, the engineering software supplier and 'an unsung hero of the sector', says that, with the grants it receives locally, it can effectively open a new office in China at no cost.

Switzerland's central bank has become a conduit for vast flows of capital into German Bunds and other haven bonds, exacerbating the Eurozone's North-South divide, the Telegraph reports, citing a report by debt-ratings agency Standard & Poor's. The Swiss National Bank had bought €80bn (£64bn) of German, Dutch, French, Finnish and Austrian bonds this year to counter a flood of money entering the country and hold the franc at 1.20 to the euro.

The Independent reports that Silvio Berlusconi, the former Prime Minister of Italy, is back with an attack on the Germans. In one of the few interviews he has given since stepping down, Berlusconi called Germany a "hegemonic state that is dictating rules on discipline and austerity to other European countries".


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Falkland Oil & Gas

Micro Focus

Black Mountain

Imagination Technology

The Running Trading Thread

Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members


BOOK OF THE WEEK

Cotter on Investing

By John Cotter

A book review by Luka Lukic of t1ps.com

Keep it simple stupid. KISS is one of those acronyms most of us will have heard during our lives and yet how quickly we forget it when looking for new investment strategies. It is often though that you have to find some niche market with a company nobody has ever heard of if you want to make a big profit, but John Cotter argues that sometimes the best investment ideas come from simply observing the world around you. He noted some personal examples of investment success stories like ASOS, getting the idea from seeing his daughters browsing the online retailer's website, and easyJet after enjoying a number of pleasant flights with the airline (although some may argue that "easyJet" and "pleasant flights" do not belong in the same sentence).

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ShareCrazy Poll
Which will be the first country to leave the Euro ?

Germany
Greece
Portugal
Ireland
None will leave

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