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Monday, August 20, 2012

Monday's (delayed) Morning Market View from ShareCrazy

Read Malcolm Stacey, the Market Update, the Book of the Week and Broker Recommendations
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Monday 20 August 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

"A vigorous five-mile walk will do more good for an unhappy but otherwise healthy adult than all the medicine and psychology in the world."

- Paul Dudley White


THOUGHT FOR THE DAY

The Beginning of the End?

Hello Share Gatherers

Walking down Oxford Street in London this week, I see a sea of tourists of every kind. They are all over here, staying in hotels while paying through the noise for expensive tourist attractions. You won’t see much change out of £20 for the Tower of London, for example.

Then, they get on coaches and trains and go to fast food outlets and restaurants and posh West End shows. There is no evidence of a world recession in the middle of London.

Click here to view the rest of the article


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,814.53

-37.89   -0.65%

FTSE 250

11,580.96

-37.14   -0.32%

FTSE 350

3,090.79

-18.81   -0.60%



FTSE All Share

3,023.93

-18.13   -0.60%

AIM 100

3,069.17

-6.96   -0.23%

AIM All Share

681.70

-0.12   -0.02%


15:00 pm

THIS MORNING IN LONDON

Stocks slip as Germany dampens the mood

- Bundesbank reiterates criticism of ECB bond-buying
- ECB considering caps on bond spreads
- Xstrata down on concern over Glencore merger

After swinging between gains and losses for most of the morning session, the FTSE 100 was trading in the red by Monday lunchtime after Germany's Bundesbank quashed hopes surrounding the European Central Bank's (ECB's) potential bond-buying programme.

The Bundesbank reiterated its opposition to the ECB's intervention in the bond markets, saying: "The Bundesbank remains critical of the purchase of euro system sovereign bonds, which comes with considerable risks for stability.

"Decisions about a possibly even broader mutualisation of solvency risks should be anchored in financial policy, meaning with the governments and parliaments, and should not occur via central bank balances."

A report over the weekend in Der Spiegel said that the ECB is considering setting caps on bond spreads in southern Europe in order to help keep a lid on periphery country borrowing costs. However, the spokesman of Germany's Finance ministry that he does not know of any ECB plan to target bond spreads.

Luis de Guindos, Spain's Finance Minister, said that his country would like the ECB to commit to unlimited intervention in second sovereign debt markets before it officially requests financial aid.

In other news, Asian stocks slipped overnight as hopes for Chinese stimulus fade. Investors are concerned that policy-makers will refrain from further easing after a rebound in property prices during the month of July.

FTSE 100: Xstrata slips on merger risks

While company announcements were thin on the ground on the FTSE 350 today, plenty of market chatter made sure that there were some movements in share prices.

Mining giant Xstrata was leading the decline on the Footsie on Monday after reports that Qatar Holding had raised its stake in the firm, adding to speculation that the investment fund is attempting to build its stake to block the proposed merger with Glencore International. The Qataris are demanding a offer sweeter than the 2.8 Glencore shares per Xstrata share.

Meanwhile, sector peers ENRC was sold off after Credit Suisse downgraded its rating on the stock from 'outperform' to 'neutral', saying that earnings will weaken "substantially" over the next year. Kazakhmys, Evraz, Fresnillo, Rio Tinto and Randgold were also out of favour.

Banking peers Lloyds, Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland were in demand early on, though under-fire lender Standard Chartered bucked the trend following last week's $340m settlement with US authorities surrounding alleged dealings with Iran.

Security giant G4S rose after The Financial Times said that the group would pull its operations out of Pakistan due to "an increasingly hostile environment for foreign security companies".

Johnnie Walker whiskey maker Diageo was making gains on reports that it was closing in on a $3bn (£1.9bn) deal to acquire Jose Cuervo tequila. The firm already distributes the tequila brand globally.

FTSE 250: Bovis gains after beating first-half forecasts

House-builder Bovis Homes rose after seeing profits come in ahead of forecasts in the first half, helping the firm to double its interim dividend.

Insurance and reinsurance firm Amlin was also higher after revealing a first-half profit compared to a loss the same time a year earlier as catastrophe loss activity reduced sharply.

Platinum miner Lonmin was lower, extending last week's losses, on developments from its Marikana mine in South Africa at which over 30 people were killed last week after protests about pay.

FTSE 100 - Risers

Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 35.00p +2.28%
Barclays (BARC) 195.55p +1.40%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 589.50p +1.20%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,183.00p +0.85%
Old Mutual (OML) 172.30p +0.82%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 233.40p +0.78%
British Land Co (BLND) 544.00p +0.74%
Sage Group (SGE) 303.50p +0.70%
Intertek Group (ITRK) 2,814.00p +0.68%
Capital Shopping Centres Group (CSCG) 336.20p +0.66%

FTSE 100 - Fallers

Xstrata (XTA) 905.50p -3.60%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 357.30p -3.35%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 723.00p -2.30%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,498.00p -1.71%
Evraz (EVR) 265.90p -1.70%
Rexam (REX) 437.20p -1.66%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 6,140.00p -1.60%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 2,992.00p -1.55%
IMI (IMI) 916.00p -1.40%
Wolseley (WOS) 2,502.00p -1.07%

FTSE 250 - Risers

Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 3,064.00p +3.86%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 96.50p +3.82%
Amlin (AML) 394.40p +3.49%
Carpetright (CPR) 635.00p +3.25%
Ted Baker (TED) 999.50p +2.94%
Computacenter (CCC) 369.00p +2.50%
PZ Cussons (PZC) 310.60p +2.41%
RPS Group (RPS) 240.00p +2.35%
Great Portland Estates (GPOR) 441.40p +2.22%
Micro Focus International (MCRO) 561.50p +2.18%

FTSE 250 - Fallers

Chemring Group (CHG) 370.00p -10.78%
IP Group (IPO) 119.50p -5.16%
Lonmin (LMI) 614.00p -3.99%
Michael Page International (MPI) 369.10p -3.75%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 71.15p -3.46%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 458.70p -3.13%
Aquarius Platinum Ltd. (AQP) 36.81p -2.54%
Hunting (HTG) 806.00p -1.95%
Hansteen Holdings (HSTN) 73.65p -1.80%
Cairn Energy (CNE) 294.60p -1.57%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY

Panmure Gordon has upgraded its full-year forecasts for Bovis Homes after the house-builder's interim results came in ahead of expectations.

Jefferies has downgraded its rating for engineering giant IMI from 'buy' to 'hold' ahead of the group's first-half results on Thursday.


Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

FORBIDDEN TECHNOLOGIES (FBT)

PRESIDENT PETROLEUM(PPC)-Fm'ly Meridian Petroleum

SILVERMERE ENERGY(SLME)-Gulf of Mexico focused.

NCONDEZI COAL COMPANY LTD(NCCL)

NCC Group - NCC.L


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BOOK OF THE WEEK

How to Build a Share Portfolio: A Practical Guide to Selecting and Monitoring a Portfolio of Shares

By Rodney Hobson

A book review by Luka Lukic of t1ps.com

In this book Rodney Hobson aims to provide a straight forward introduction into the world of portfolio management and best practices to employ when selecting what you want to invest in. Thankfully it doesn't pretend to offer a guaranteed, one size fits all, scheme to become a millionaire, but instead attempts to compel the reader to assess what they wants to get out of their investment and then provides guidance to that end.

The book aims to explain the different behaviours of the various market sectors, and the importance of not only holding a range of shares, but diversifying them throughout the sectors to ensure a proper hedge. It also walks the reader logically through a range of factors than can, and most likely will, affect the share price and gives case studies to demonstrate the impact on real companies.

Click here to view the rest of the article


Regards,


ShareCrazy

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