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Monday, October 1, 2012

Strong start to Q4; Footsie up one per cent and today's broker recommendations in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

Read the Market Update, Tip of the Day, the Book of the Week, and Broker Recommendations
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Monday 1 October 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

Never invest in anything that eats or needs repairing
- Billy Rose


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,799.72

57.65   1.00%

FTSE 250

11,831.41

97.31   0.83%

FTSE 350

3,092.69

30.03   0.98%



FTSE All Share

3,027.75

28.89   0.96%

AIM 100

3,219.19

14.20   0.44%

AIM All Share

708.48

2.72   0.39%


11:56 am
Strong start to Q4; Footsie up one per cent

- Investors taking advantage of underpriced stocks, says analyst
- Asian and UK data disappoints
- Xstrata rises after agreeing terms with Glencore

London's blue-chip index gained strongly in morning trading on Monday with increased risk appetite benefitting the banking and mining sectors as stocks markets across Europe shrugged off some gloomy economic data from Asia and the UK to start the fourth quarter strongly.

The Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey for large manufacturers fell from -1 to -3 in September, its fourth negative reading. Meanwhile, the HSBC/Markit China manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) stayed below 50, which continues to indicate contraction in the sector.

Economic figures from the UK wasn't much better either: the manufacturing PMI fell from 49.6 to 48.4 in September, while total lending to individuals fell unexpectedly in August.

Market analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said: "European indices are trading more than 1% higher this morning, with investors taking advantage of underpriced stocks as a result of traders locking in profits at the end of the third quarter.

"There appears to be a lot of optimism surrounding the fourth quarter, with Spain expected to request a bailout, potentially as early as this week," he said.

Friday's release by auditor Oliver Wyman estimated that the Spanish financial sector would need €59.3bn in funds in order to stay afloat, well within the €100bn limit given by the European Union.

FTSE 100: Xstrata and Glencore agree terms

The big news of the morning was that the so-called merger of equals between commodities trader Glencore and mining titan Xtsrata is back on after the independent directors of the latter agreed to Glencore's terms. Jefferies reiterated its positive stance on both stocks this morning, saying that they while they may underperform after the shareholder votes later this year, the combined 'Glenstrata' entity will be one of its top picks for the long term.

Banking stocks were in demand with Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds and Barclays benefiting from ratings upgrades from Liberum Capital, which lifted its recommendation on all three to 'buy'.

Supermarket group Sainsbury was in the red ahead of its second-quarter trading statement on Wednesday. Sector peer Tesco, which reports its interim results on the same day, was making gains today despite a ratings downgrade from Seymour Pierce from 'hold' to 'reduce'; the broker cited poor visibility as a reason behind the move.

Defence group BAE Systems was wanted this morning after itself and aerospace titan EADS revealed details of its proposed £28bn tie-up. "There comes a time when it is right to seize the moment, and to create something that is even stronger and better. We believe that time is now," the companies' CEOs said in a joint statement.

Meanwhile, tobacco groups British American and Imperial were up after some positive comments from Investec today. "The NHS wants us to stop smoking for October. We respond by going long on UK tobaccos," said analyst Martin Deboo. The broker has raised its rating on BATS from 'hold' to 'buy' and renewed its 'buy' recommendation for IMT.

FTSE 250: SuperGroup continues to be super

SuperGroup continues to extend gains after its impressive results announced last month, in which it reported a 10% increase in total sales in the first quarter. Including today's near-9% rise, shares have gained 35% in the past month.

House builder Taylor Wimpey was a high riser after Citi upgraded its rating on the stock. Sector peer Barratt Developments was also on the up.

International investment group Caledonia rose after buying a portfolio of five industrial business from US-based operating company Latshaw Enterprises for $42m.


FTSE 100 - Risers
Anglo American (AAL) 1,875.50p +3.22%
Xstrata (XTA) 985.00p +2.87%
Schroders (SDR) 1,559.00p +2.70%
Barclays (BARC) 220.45p +2.61%
Croda International (CRDA) 2,486.00p +2.52%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 863.50p +2.43%
Wolseley (WOS) 2,706.00p +2.42%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,857.00p +2.37%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 315.20p +2.11%
Experian (EXPN) 1,050.00p +2.04%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
CRH (CRH) 1,184.00p -0.67%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 922.00p -0.54%
Sainsbury (J) (SBRY) 345.80p -0.49%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 284.70p -0.18%
Kingfisher (KGF) 263.90p -0.11%
SSE (SSE) 1,391.00p -0.07%
BP (BP.) 436.30p -0.05%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Supergroup (SGP) 649.50p +8.70%
Homeserve (HSV) 218.00p +3.81%
Pace (PIC) 165.30p +3.77%
RPS Group (RPS) 258.10p +3.65%
Spectris (SXS) 1,784.00p +3.42%
Barratt Developments (BDEV) 175.10p +3.30%
COLT Group SA (COLT) 122.90p +3.19%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 273.00p +3.02%
Taylor Wimpey (TW.) 55.90p +2.95%
Rank Group (RNK) 149.30p +2.89%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Savills (SVS) 391.40p -1.83%
WH Smith (SMWH) 636.50p -1.55%
ITE Group (ITE) 203.10p -1.46%
Bumi (BUMI) 148.00p -1.33%
Fidessa Group (FDSA) 1,453.00p -1.22%
Computacenter (CCC) 376.20p -1.00%
Unite Group (UTG) 261.10p -0.95%
Provident Financial (PFG) 1,360.00p -0.95%
Mondi (MNDI) 624.00p -0.95%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 116.60p -0.93%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Barclays: Liberum Capital upgrades to buy, target lifted from 210p to 245p

Spectris: Credit Suisse hikes tagged from 1,825p to 2,075p, outperform rating kept

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

New World Oil & Gas

Micro Focus

Laird Engineering

Taylor Wimpey

The Running Trading Thread

Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members


BOOK OF THE WEEK

Binary Trading

By John Piper

A book review by Aaron Padgham

Spread betters will all remember the time when one of their positions fell through its stop-loss, closing out the position by narrowest of margins, only for the price to rocket five minutes later! Cue the binary bet, a trading instrument that can immediately limit down-side risk. In Binary Trading John Piper introduces investors to relatively new concept of binary betting, in which punters can make the most outrageous moves in complete safety. The binary bet allows spread betters to bet on the particular outcome for a market, for example if the FTSE will close up. As the name infers, there can only be two possible outcomes, the FTSE closes up or down, and thus the investor gains or loses a pre-determined amount.

Click here to view the rest of the article

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ShareCrazy Poll
At what price will GOLD be at the end of 2012?
Below $1,400
$1,400 - $1,599
$1,600 - $1,799
$1,800 - $1,999
Above $2,000

 
 
 
 



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