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Thursday, August 29, 2013

| 08.29.13 | Will Greifeld survive at Nasdaq?

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August 29, 2013
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Today's Top Stories

  1. Will Greifeld survive at Nasdaq?
  2. A changing face of bias on Wall Street?
  3. JPMorgan faces massive FHFA settlement costs
  4. JPMorgan Chase faces new consumer charges
  5. P2P loan market thrives


Also Noted: Spotlight On... Rajaratnam faring well in prison
Has JPMorgan become a piñata? and much more...

News From the Fierce Network:
1. Rates business takes a hit
2. Billionaire wins in suit against JPMorgan
3. Ex-analyst in jail over alimony


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Today's Top News

1. Will Greifeld survive at Nasdaq?

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

There's no denying that Robert Greifeld, the CEO of Nasdaq, is under pressure right now. Technology malfunctions have severely undermined its public reputation. The inability to find a merger partner has raised brows, leading to talk of missed opportunities. And the decision not to communicate more quickly about the recent 3-hour outage was thoroughly lambasted by many, perhaps most memorably by James Cramer, who went on something of rant.

So it's not surprising that we're seeing more quotes like the following in the Financial Times.  "Time after time there is a problem at Nasdaq; they need new leaders. Bob has been there for 10 years and has been a great cost-cutter, but the core focus has not been on investing in the technology. He's been looking for a high event to leave on, but the May [Facebook] events from last year hampered that and this makes it worse."

There have been few outward signs that the Nasdaq OMX board has lost confidence in Greifeld. But directors certainly can't stick their heads in the sand.

Perhaps the worst situation might be akin to the one that strangled Microsoft for many years. The last thing the board wants is to find itself in a situation during in which people assume that the company would be better off without the current CEO. That will merely build in a somewhat permanent discount. Steve Ballmer was able to survive for many years in this scenario. But it eventually caught up with him.

It will be interesting to see if Greifeld ends up in the same long-term situation.

For more:
- here's the FT article

 

Read more about: exchanges
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2. A changing face of bias on Wall Street?

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

DealBook reports that Merrill Lynch has agreed to pay $160 million to settle a racial discrimination lawsuit that was first filed in 2005.

The settlement affects 700 black brokers who worked for Merrill and "would be the largest sum ever distributed to plaintiffs in a racial discrimination suit against an American employer." As part of the deal, Merrill, which is owned by Bank of America, also agreed to take advice from black employees on workplace issues.

The big issue, however, is whether anything has changed over the past 8 years to improve the lot of women and minorities at the firm. One would like to think that there has been a sea change across the industry.

Over the past decade anyway, managers have become keenly aware that untoward practices and comments will only cause problems for them. The smart ones know to keep that stuff to themselves. If a gender or race dispute crops up in the office, there may no longer be a knee-jerk defense of the old guard. An executive would have to be stupid to take risks in this area. Some may argue that political correctness has taken over, but for many, that may be a sign of progress.

The modern face of bias is undeniably more complex, much harder to measure and analyze. While the work place is more hospitable, it's fair to say that opportunity distribution and financial remuneration are still big issues. What we need at one level is more detailed data by which to analyze all this. One danger is that women and minorities increasingly decide that the financial services industry just isn't for them. Long-term, that would be a huge loss.

Is that now happening?

For more:
- here's the article

 

Read more about: Discrimination Suits
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3. JPMorgan faces massive FHFA settlement costs

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

In the welter of enforcement actions facing JPMorgan, Bank of America and other top banks, there is still a lot of uncertainty around potential settlement deals. A good reminder just cropped up in the form a news report from the Financial Times, which holds that regulators at the FHFA are demanding that JPMorgan Chase pay more than $6 billion to settle charges about a variety of misdeeds in the way it sold mortgages to the big housing GSEs. That would be a massive sum, one that the bank is apparently fighting. We would appear to be in the midst of a fairly intense negotiation, with both sides hoping to settle at some point. No one would be surprised if the settlement terms came in a bit lower, while everyone would be surprised if this actually went to trial.

Some might think that the UBS settlement for $885 million last month set an analytical baseline of sorts. But the circumstances across all banks are different. While the volume of JPMorgan securities at issue is about 5 times larger than the UBS volume, one can't linearly extrapolate.

Still, you get the idea that the ultimate costs to the bank will be big. This case will be closely watched by Bank of America as well, which is grappling with its own FHFA case. Morgan Stanley has suggested that a straightforward extrapolation based on the UBS settlement would lead to settlement figure of $10 billion. For various reasons, that's not going to hold. The more likely Bank of America settlement might be about $3.6 billion, the analysts estimate. The FHFA may have other ideas.

One market trend working in the banks favor is that the toxic securities at issue have rallied, which will tend to lower settlement costs.

For more:
- here's the article

Read more about: Litigation Costs, Enforcement Action
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4. JPMorgan Chase faces new consumer charges

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Much of the enforcement activity aimed at JPMorgan Chase so far has been about wholesale, B-to-B practices. But get ready for a raft of consumer-related charges, which will add a new dimension to the bank's laundry list of regulatory woes. The bank has been nothing less than a lawyer's dream over the past few years, a litigation factory that has surpassed the likes of Goldman Sachs and Bank of America.

DealBook reports that the OCC and the CFPB plan to announce various actions in the next month or so. The settlement terms call for the bank "to acknowledge internal flaws and dole out at least $80 million in fines, said the people."

"The most costly cases for JPMorgan center on concerns that the bank duped its credit card customers into buying products pitched as a way to shield them from identity theft. In separate actions reflecting their varied jurisdictions, the consumer bureau will levy a roughly $20 million fine, while the comptroller's office is expected to extract about $60 million. In another set of actions, the regulators are aiming at the bank for the way it collected overdue bills from consumers, the people said. It is unclear whether those cases will yield any fines."

To be sure, $80 million is a mere pittance for the banks. The settlements will likely encourage more private litigation, which carry costs as well, but those costs will likely be manageable. The much more costly case will be the one that the FHFA is trying to settle for about $6 billion.

At the consumer level, there could be some reputational costs that should be considered. The bank has developed a reputation in certain quarters for dubious behavior that leaves small customers short-changed. The bank has been shamed into action previously, like when it announced that it would alter is account policies to make them less friendly to usurious online lenders.

The bank would be wise to carefully study how all this enforcement activity is affecting the brand.

For more:
- here's the article

Read more about: Enforcement Action
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5. P2P loan market thrives

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

There is clearly a market for loans that traditional banks aren't willing to extend.

Some of this is rough and tumble fare, services along the lines of payday loans. But other services are cropping up that seem to be on the other end of the new-era shadow banking spectrum. Peer-to-peer lending, for example, is hot right now, as the likes of Lending Club and Prosper Marketplace lead the way. What has emerged so far is an Internet-based system that connects people in need of loans, retail customers up to companies, with non-traditional lenders.

The key may reside in the algorithms that LendingClub and others have developed to identify good credit risks. Confidence in such algorithms may be essential in terms of attracting lenders, who are intrigued with the high rates. In a near-desperate search for yield, hedge funds and pensions are pondering how aggressively they want to jump into this.

As noted by Bloomberg, "LendingClub says that from June 2007 to July 31 of this year lender-investors earned an average annualized return of 9.5 percent, compared with 0.1 to 1.5 percent in a bank savings account. Prosper's average return for the period from July 2009 to June 2013 was 9 percent."

P2P companies are also attracting more lenders by making it easy for them to take granular stakes in larger loans, as little as $25.

To be sure, such lending is a dubious proposition in the minds of some regulators. About 20 states require lenders to be licensed. Historically, of course, default rates were high. But that may change as companies get more savvy about borrowers.

In the end, you have to ask why borrowers would willingly agree to pay jacked up rates. It seems illogical, but people have been doing it for years when it comes to credit cards, payday loans and other types of last-resort credit. It's all about the perception of value.

It will be interesting to watch all this unfold.

For more:
- here's the article

Read more about: Peer to Peer Loans
back to top



Also Noted

SPOTLIGHT ON... Rajaratnam faring well in prison

When fallen financiers go to jail, the media loves to get the scoop on how the fare. Bernard Madoff, for example, has been a media mainstay from prison in North Carolina. Raj Rajaratnam has generated much less media buzz once he was sent away. But the New York Post has done its part to keep his legacy alive. It reports that the convicted insider trader is living large. "I'm told the one-time high-flying Manhattan billionaire has snagged a prime cell in Unit P3, the top floor of Devens' hospital ward — usually reserved for the most seriously ill inmates," a columnist reports. "What's more, the source tells me, Raj 'has a very delightful guy doing all sorts of stuff for him — sort of like a 'manservant.' When Raj needs something, this guy gets if for him.' The manservant is a 'gentle giant,' an American Samoan named Eddie, whose main job in the P3 unit is to push wheelchair-bound prisoners. He got himself transferred to P3 after befriending Raj, according to the snitch." Article

Company News: 
> Deutsche Bank hires new strategist. Article
> JPMorgan ponders Whale settlement. Article
> National bank of Canada tops estimates. Article
> Fitch holds negative outlook on European banks. Article
> Credit Agricole hires for CoCo roadshow. Article
> Has JPMorgan become a piñata? Article
Industry News:
> Mortgage apps decline. Article
> Merchants seek swipe-fee status quo. Article
> Massive patent fund in the works. Article
> Banks legal tab soars. Article
Regulatory News:
> Senate panel looks into JPMorgan energy probe. Article
And finally … How cheap will the iPhone get? Article


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