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| | | | | | Post name : | October 2012: A Forgettable Month for Commodities! | | | Post Contents : | | | | We are on the verge of welcoming a new month with new days and new hopes. October remained a month w more. | | | Posted Date: | 11/1/2012 11:36:55 AM | | © 2008 Mercantile Exchange Nepal Limited. All Rights Reserved |
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From UK-Analyst.com: Wednesday 31st October 2012
| The Markets The New York Stock Exchange opened after the longest closure since 9/11 as the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy began to sink in. The storm has created an estimated 18 to 24 billion pounds in clearing up costs. In the UK, a report suggested that millions of poor and middle income households may remain unaffected by any economic recovery. The Commission on Living Standards warned that high unemployment will keep wages low and called for state subsidies to boost employment. On the continent, Greece's draft budget for 2013 predicts a deeper recession and worse debt problems than previously forecasted. Instead of shrinking 3.8%, the economy is expected to contract by 4.5%, with government borrowing predicted to reach 5.2% of economic output rather than the originally anticipated 4.2%. Meanwhile, unemployment in the Eurozone rose by 10 basis points in September to 11.6%, some 25.8 million people, exceeding consensus forecasts of 11.4%. At the London close the Dow Jones was down by 42.69 points at 13,064.52 and the Nasdaq was down by 18.78 points at 2,969.17. In London the FTSE 100 fell by 63.62 points to 5,786.28; the FTSE 250 finished 7.34 points down at 11,944.00; the FTSE All-Share lost 28.53 points to 3,026.45; and the FTSE AIM Index increased by 1.66 points to 3133.51. 
Broker Notes Following the recent surge in share price, Getech (GTC) has been downgraded from a "buy" to an "outperform" by WH Ireland, but with an increased target price of 52.5p, from 35p. The broker believes that Getech's strong momentum and supportive oil and gas prices coupled with improved marketing should give it a rating at least in line with the wider oil and gas sector, of around 14.1 times earnings. The shares jumped 2p to 51.5p. 
Panmure Gordon upgraded its recommendation on Interior Services Group (ISG) from a "hold" to a "buy" and raised the target price from 112p to 170p. The broker was impressed by the company's new contract wins, particularly against a backdrop of a tough UK construction market. Panmure added that the office refurbishment company's international expansion through acquisition and organic growth will help diversify revenues, with overseas revenues now accounting for 20% of total sales. Shares remained unchanged at 143.5p. Shore Capital maintained its buy recommendation on retailer Marks & Spencer (MKS) as it believes the company's improved e-commerce facility creates a basis for a more competitive and sustainable revenue stream. The broker noted that the food and clothing retailer's share price has performed well recently, riding the momentum of a general recovery in the sector, but pointed to continued weakness in the womenswear market. Shore added that the firm's interim results will be release on 6th November and believes that a lot will ride on the coat tails of the performance of ladies clothing sales in the second quarter. Shares were down 1.3p to 393.8p. Blue-Chips Gas firm BG Group (BG.) reported a 22% increase in operating profit to 2.3 billion dollars (1.4 billion pounds) for the third quarter, on revenue growth of 4% to 5.6 billion dollars (3.5 billion pounds). This increase was driven by strong performances on projects in Australia and Brazil. The firm noted that production increased by 5%, despite its decision to scale back drilling in the US because of low natural gas prices. The shares tumbled 182p to 1,147p. 
Retailer NEXT (NXT) announced a 2.7% rise in sales for the third quarter ended 27th October 2012 and attributed the increase to a busy late September and early October after a slow August. Sales at NEXT directory jumped 5.6%, closing the performance gap between itself and NEXT Retail and the company believes that this is largely due to the delivery improvements it made at the start of last year. As a result of the continued growth, the group increased the lower end of its full year pre-tax profit range from 575 million pounds to 590 million pounds. The shares fell 39p to 3,566p. Mobile phone giant Vodafone (VOD) confirmed it has completed the acquisition of TelstraClear, the New Zealand business of Australian group Telstra, for a total of 429 million pounds. The deal, which was first announced in July, has now received regulatory approval and is clear to go ahead. TelstraClear is the second largest fixed line operator in the country and its clients include the government, as well a number of large corporations. The shares slipped 2.8p to 168.25p. Mid-Caps Wealth management group St. James's Place (STJ) reported a 6% increase in funds under management to 32.8 billion pounds for the three months ended 30th September 2012. This was driven by a net inflow in funds of 0.75 billion pounds and a slight increase in global stock markets. Total new business grew 8% year on year to 165.5 million pounds, pushed up by growth of 14% in September alone. The shares rose by 17.3p to 397p. 
The Africa based energy firm Afren (AFR) revealed that production has commenced from the Okoro Field Extension, in offshore southeast Nigeria. This new project is expected to produce at a stabilised rate of 5,000 barrels of oil a day, increasing the output from the area to approximately 21,500 barrels a day. Chief Executive, Osman Shahensha said "I am delighted we have commenced early production at the Okoro Field Extension, just nine months after the initial discovery." The shares climbed 4.6p to 137.70p. India-focused energy firm Essar Energy (ESSR) announced it has secured stage 1 forest clearance from the government of India's environmental agency. This approval will help speed up the start of the mining and supply of coal to Essar Energy's 1200 MW Mahan phase I power project. The group currently operates six power plants in the country. The shares swelled 5.4p to 136.9p. Small Caps, AIM and PLUS Transport data software company Tracsis (TRCS) reported a 112% increase in revenues to 4.1 million pounds, with pre-tax profits jumping by 169% to 1.1 million pounds in the year ended 31st July 2012. The company, which works with clients such as Arriva, National Express and Virgin, produces packages that allow its clients to study their own performance which could help to reduce costs and improve service. The growth in revenues was in part due to several new contract wins and first sales of TRACS-RS, a product which aids the process of rolling stock vehicle planning. The shares rallied 11.5p to 145p. Internet Services provider Coms (COMS) reported a rise in group revenues of 33.8% to 1.83 million pounds, while revenues in its core business division of cloud telephony were up by 90.6% to 0.6 million pounds for the 6 months ended 31st July 2012. Gross profits increased 47.7% to 0.6 million pounds which the group attributed to a 100% rise in recurring revenue. The shares surged 11.5p to 145p. 
Cloud software developer 1Spatial* (SPA) announced an after tax loss of 1.1 million pounds for the six month period ended 30 July 2012 a swing from making a profit of 0.8 million pounds last year. During the period, the group closed down its loss making Avisen Netherlands business and completed the restructuring of its 1Spatial business, which is expected to make annualised savings of 0.7 million pounds. Despite the gloom, revenues were up 146% to 6.4 million pounds for the period. The shares fell 0.25p to 3.875p. Creon Resources (CRO) revealed it raised 12.1 million pounds through an open offer to shareholders, which it will use to implement its investment policy. Another highlight of the six months ended 31st July 2012 was that the company completed its first investment in the offshore oil and gas sector with a 9.8 million pound joint venture with China based shipping company Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Ltd. The shares remained flat at 0.65p. Gold production company Nyota Minerals (NYO) reported that due to issues at the Ethiopian Ministry of Mines, it was unable to secure a mining licence by its target date of 30th September. Meanwhile, the firm said that it expects to announce the results of a feasibility study into its primary Tulu Kapi project in December. The study concerns proposed capital costs, a new mine schedule and incorporating a new mineral resource for the Ethiopian project. This comes after the estimated resource at the site was upgraded by 33% to 1.108 million ounces of gold earlier this month. Shares in the company fell by 0.24p to 4.14p. Property business Rugby Estates (RES) reported a loss before tax of 2.33 million pounds for the six months to July, an increase of 264%. Factors which contributed include reductions in the estimated realisable values of the remaining properties owned by the company and restructuring costs. The firm continued its plan of liquidating its portfolio and returned a further 6.4 million pounds to shareholders, bringing the total since 31st January 2009 to 51.8 million pounds. Shares in Rugby Estates plummeted 45p to 355p. * 1Spatial is a corporate client of Rivington Street Holdings, the ultimate owner of UK-Analyst. | |
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 | | | Personal Finance Daily OCTOBER 31, 2012 Wednesday's Personal Finance Stories By MarketWatch Don't miss these top stories: Thousands of homeowners will soon begin the process of contacting their insurers in the wake of Hurricane Sandy. One of the best ways to speed approval of damage claims is to make that initial contact with the insurance company as soon as possible, writes Charles Passy. Read his story with tips on how to fast-track an insurance claim in today's Personal Finance pages. Plus, read about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's deal with mortgage insurers to help borrowers avoid foreclosure. Plus, in honor of Halloween, read an Al Lewis column about a real-estate agent who helps clients buy and sell haunted houses. —Amy Hoak , assistant editor How to speed approval of storm-damage claims Is there a way to get your homeowners insurance claim fast-tracked for approval if you've been hit by Hurricane Sandy?
How to speed approval of storm-damage claims. For sale: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 1 ghost Real estate agent Cindi Hagley will help you buy — or sell — a haunted house, Al Lewis reports.
For sale: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 1 ghost. ECONOMY AND POLITICS Fannie makes deal with insurers to help homeowners Government-seized housing finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac say they have reached deals with nine mortgage insurers that could help distressed borrowers avoid foreclosure.
Fannie makes deal with insurers to help homeowners. Campaign ignores climate change behind Sandy President Obama has studiously avoided talking about climate change, says Darrell Delamaide. The question is whether Obama would make action on climate change a major component of his second term.
Campaign ignores climate change behind Sandy. INVESTING How to avoid the consequences of QE3 The Federal Reserve's QE3 program will have unintended consequences, writes investment manager John Burke. He recommends shares of global companies with exposure to emerging markets, particularly China.
How to avoid the consequences of QE3. How to invest in the Australian (property) dream Central to the Australia's wealth creation has been its active and resilient property sector. And Ben Weiss suggests that one way investors can play there is through cheaply valued online property-data companies.
How to invest in the Australian (property) dream. Insiders providing a ray of sunshine Corporate insiders are providing a ray of sunshine on a Wall Street otherwise shuttered because of super storm Sandy., reports Mark Hulbert.
Insiders providing a ray of sunshine. Why do the Germans want their gold back? There's a campaign in Germany to bring its gold back from New York and London, Matthew Lynn reports. That means Germans are anxious, and getting ready to return to the comfort of the deutschemark.
Why do the Germans want their gold back? 
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| | Wednesday 31 October 2012 QUOTE OF THE DAY Never invest in any idea you can't illustrate with a crayon
- Peter Lynch
THIS MORNING IN LONDON FTSE 100 5,842.38 
-7.52 -0.13% FTSE 250 12,000.38 
46.13 0.39% FTSE 350 3,118.29
-1.87 -0.06% FTSE All Share 3,053.27
-1.71 -0.06% AIM 100 3,142.34
10.49 0.33% AIM All Share 699.88
1.28 0.18% 11:58 am
BG and Barclays provide a drag on the Footsie - BG drops nearly 20 per cent after cutting guidance
- Barclays disappoints with Q3 results
- US markets to re-open following two-day closure
After a stable start, the FTSE 100 had dropped into negative territory by Wednesday lunchtime, with heavy falls from BG Group and Barclays providing a drag on the blue chip index.
US markets are to re-open today under normal opening procedures, according to NYSE Euronext, following a two-day closure due to safety concerns as a result of Hurricane Sandy, which has killed dozens of people and left millions without power on the American East Coast. This was the first time since 1888 that the weather has halted trading for two consecutive days.
Speaking last night, NYSE Euronext's Chief Executive Officer Duncan Niederauer said: "We are pleased to be able to return to normal trading tomorrow. Our building and systems were not damaged and our people have been working diligently to ensure that we have a smooth opening tomorrow. Our thoughts and prayers remain with the families and communities suffering in the wake of this terrible natural disaster."
Market analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said: "The first few hours are likely to be manic with the US markets still to factor in corporate earnings from the start of the week and the effects of the hurricane among other things."
Economic data from Asia lifted sentiment early this morning: South Korean industrial output improved for the first time in four months; Taiwan swung back to growth in the most recent quarter; while the unemployment rate in Singapore declined.
Meanwhile, markets will be keeping a close eye on the Eurogroup meeting that takes place today with Greece expected to be high up on the agenda.
Alpari's Erlam said: "The recession has been far deeper than anyone had anticipated or planned for. It looks as though Greece will be granted two extra years to hit its fiscal targets, however this will leave a shortfall of €30bn that will have to be made up in some other way.
"Despite what looks like an urgent matter, the finance ministers are unlikely to come up with any resolution, something we've come to expect in recent years."
FTSE 100: BG plummets after cutting guidance; Barclays unwanted
BG Group shocked the market this morning by cutting back production guidance as a result of a number of delays to project start-ups. It now expects full-year production will be just 3% higher than in 2011, while 2013 output is not expected to show any growth at all.
The firm also announced that it would be selling 40% of certain interest in its Queensland Curtis LNG project in Australia for $1.93bn, as well as a sale of LNG from its global LNG portfolio. Seymour Pierce analyst Sam Wahab however noted that the group currently has an asset divestment programme to reduce net debt exposure, and thinks the sudden announcement of the disposal "would suggest that the disposal of their Australian LNG interest was forced upon them rather than a strategic decision."
UK banking giant Barclays dropped early on despite meeting forecasts in the third quarter with strong growth seen in adjusted pre-tax profits, from £1.34bn to £1.73bn. The firm however revealed new "legal and regulatory matters" which include two new probes in the US.
Shares in oil and gas producer Tullow Oil surged after the firm announcing that its Twiga South-1 exploration well onshore Kenya Block 13T has successfully encountered oil. Sector peer Petrofac was also higher.
High Street fashion and homewares retailer Next also fell after admitting that its sales performance was "volatile" in the third quarter with stronger sales in late September and early October offsetting an unusually quiet start to August.
Life assurance company Standard Life gained after saying inflows across its long-term savings businesses plus a strong performance at Standard Life Investments helped to increase both group assets under administration and Standard Life Investments third party assets to record levels.
Higher production at its Esperanza mine helped Chilean copper miner Antofagasta increase output in the third quarter, seeing shares rise early on.
Mobile phone networks giant Vodafone was in demand after announcing that its NZ$840m (£429m) acquisition of TelstraClear, the New Zealand business of Australian telecoms group Telstra, has now gone through.
FTSE 250: St James's Place rises after Q3 update
Wealth management group St James's Place rose strongly after reporting a 6% increase n funds under management (FuM) in the third quarter as it reported good growth in new business despite the continuing macroeconomic uncertainty.
Energy company Essar was higher after gaining permission to chop down trees close to its Mahan coal block.
FTSE 100 - Risers
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,601.00p +3.42%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,425.00p +3.11%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 163.30p +2.96%
Evraz (EVR) 243.60p +2.40%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,172.00p +2.02%
Resolution Ltd. (RSL) 217.50p +1.78%
Amec (AMEC) 1,076.00p +1.70%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,793.00p +1.64%
Melrose (MRO) 242.10p +1.51%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 1,285.00p +1.50%
FTSE 100 - Fallers
BG Group (BG.) 1,070.50p -19.48%
Barclays (BARC) 230.50p -3.48%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,610.00p -2.48%
Croda International (CRDA) 2,224.00p -1.81%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 684.50p -1.51%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,348.00p -0.93%
Pennon Group (PNN) 719.00p -0.76%
Serco Group (SRP) 569.50p -0.61%
Wolseley (WOS) 2,729.00p -0.40%
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) 1,549.00p -0.39%
FTSE 250 - Risers
St James's Place (STJ) 396.20p +4.35%
Ashtead Group (AHT) 380.20p +4.28%
Essar Energy (ESSR) 137.00p +4.18%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 207.60p +3.80%
F&C Asset Management (FCAM) 98.00p +3.65%
IP Group (IPO) 118.90p +3.39%
Afren (AFR) 136.90p +2.85%
Atkins (WS) (ATK) 717.00p +2.50%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 768.00p +2.40%
Henderson Group (HGG) 119.50p +2.40%
FTSE 250 - Fallers
Go-Ahead Group (GOG) 1,318.00p -4.01%
National Express Group (NEX) 173.00p -2.43%
COLT Group SA (COLT) 111.60p -2.36%
Menzies(John) (MNZS) 607.50p -2.02%
Provident Financial (PFG) 1,377.00p -1.92%
Laird (LRD) 209.40p -1.60%
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 425.10p -1.46%
Perform Group (PER) 401.10p -1.38%
BH Global Ltd. USD Shares (BHGU) 11.05 -1.34%
Bumi (BUMI) 236.10p -1.30%
FTSE TechMARK - Risers
AEA Technology Group (AAT) 0.060p +9.09%
Wolfson Microelectronics (WLF) 209.50p +3.20%
Xaar (XAR) 264.50p +1.39%
Vectura Group (VEC) 89.00p +1.14%
Skyepharma (SKP) 85.94p +1.11%
Consort Medical (CSRT) 764.50p +0.92%
Vislink (VLK) 26.50p +0.47%
XP Power Ltd. (DI) (XPP) 982.00p +0.46%
Corin Group (CRG) 57.50p 0.00%
Kofax (KFX) 300.00p 0.00%
FTSE TechMARK - Fallers
Torotrak (TRK) 29.75p -2.46%
RM (RM.) 80.00p -2.44%
Antisoma (ASM) 1.60p -1.54%
Optos (OPTS) 206.75p -1.43%
Innovation Group (TIG) 22.25p -1.11%
NCC Group (NCC) 897.83p -0.79%
BATM Advanced Communications Ltd. (BVC) 15.88p -0.75%
E2V Technologies (E2V) 113.00p -0.44%
Corin Group (CRG) 57.50p 0.00%
Kofax (KFX) 300.00p 0.00%
WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
TODAY'S TIP ON SHARECRAZY e-Therapeutics - Interim Results - In-line with Expectations A report from GECR - e-Therapeutics has announced interim results which are in-line with our expectations.
- The drug discovery and development company also revealed that following the re-evaluation of development considerations and of the commercial opportunity, its pre-clinical topical agent ETX1153a will be discontinued.
- Nevertheless, with the group making significant progress in the last six-months - advancing its cancer drug candidate ETS2101 into two phase I clinical trials - and on track to advance at least one new candidate into development by the end of 2013, our stance remains buy.
Click here to view the full article
THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board: Goldplat Rivington Street Holdings Surgical Innovations Ferrex The Running Trading Thread
Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members
THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board: TTG Rivington Street Holdings Surgical Innovations Ferrex The Running Trading Thread
Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members |
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