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Wednesday, June 20, 2012

Wednesday's tip on UK-Analyst is from James Faulkner of WatsHot.com

North Sea Oil Plays

by James Faulkner of WatsHot.com

On WatsHot.com, James provides two hot new recommendations each month, regular updates on his share tips, rumours, book reviews and his daily thoughts and insights into the markets. This is an extract from James' most recent weekend editorial on WatsHot, in which he identifies three London listed oil plays to potentially benefit from takeover activity.

JAMES WILL BE PUBLISHING HIS LATEST HOT TIP NEXT WEEK. CLICK HERE TO JOIN WATSHOT.COM NOW

The recent bid for Nautical Petroleum (NPE) has left punters speculating as to which north sea oiler will be next on the M&A shopping list. Investors could do worse than dip into Ithaca Energy (IAE), whose steeply rising production profile singles it out as a key target - indeed, it has already been the subject of one approach earlier this year.

Ithaca Energy's (IAE) portfolio consists of oil assets in the Inner and Outer Moray Firth, gas and condensate assets in the Central North Sea, and gas assets in the Southern North Sea. Focused on the exploitation of existing discoveries rather than exploration, the company seeks to acquire existing production or discoveries that may no longer meet the investment criteria or strategy of the existing owner. Currently its portfolio comprises four producing fields, two ongoing developments and a raft of other appraisal opportunities

Ithaca is in the middle of an ambitious production programme that should see output quadruple from c.3,200 barrels of oil (net) equivalent per day (boepd) in 2011 to 21,600 boepd by 2014. The main production landmarks will be the ramp-up of the Athena development field (ongoing) and the start-up at Stella/Harrier (production drilling in late 2012, onstream Q4 2014). At this point the company will be generating considerable levels of free cashflow which will be available to reinvest in further growth via other developments and acquisitions. As the operator of all its key assets, Ithaca is the master of its own destiny as it is able to control the pace and cost of its activities. It has already proven that it has the wherewithal to successfully develop North Sea assets, such as the Beatrice field, of which it assumed the operatorship in 2008 and proceeded to increase production from 1,500 boepd to more than 11,000 boepd. A successful outcome at Stellar & Harrier would establish Ithaca as one of the larger mid-tier North Sea operators. With cash in hand of $110 million at the end of March 2012 and a $400 million borrowing facility in place, the firm is fully funded to carry out its development activities.

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Risk Warning: The tips given here are of necessity, general. They cannot relate to the individual circumstances of investors. Anyone considering following the recommendations contained here should seek independent advice. The value of investments can go down as well as up. Investing in equities can lose you part or all of your capital. Smaller company shares can be relatively illiquid and thus hard to trade. And that makes such investments more of a high risk than larger company shares. UK-Analyst.com is owned by t1ps.com Ltd which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and can be contacted at 3rd Floor, 3 London Wall Buildings, London EC2M 5SY.

Shares in Xcite Energy (XEL) had been trading as high as 400p back in early 2011, but have since fallen to just 79p at time of writing due to funding uncertainties surrounding its Bentley heavy oil field, thought to be one of the largest undeveloped oil fields in the North Sea. However, some of this uncertainty has been removed of late through an amended agreement with BP whereby the International Oil Company (IOC) will provide the offtake services to market and sell the Bentley crude oil in return for an incentive-based fee per barrel. In addition, BP will provide $5 million of financing for Phase 1B of the Bentley field development as part of the reserves based lending facility being negotiated with a group of commercial banks. BP will also provide working capital support estimated to be worth $20-$40 million depending on Bentley crude oil production and blending requirements.

Recent drilling results have been positive, with the 9/3b-7z well having reached target depth of 9,646 ft and hitting a reservoir section in excess of 2,000 ft with 100% net pay. In addition, the top reservoir, at 3,609 ft true vertical depth, is higher than previously encountered in any part of the field to date, thereby giving an oil column depth of approximately 121 ft. With production testing on the way and BP on board, the outlook appears positive and there is a long way to go before the shares move anywhere near broker Seymour Pierce's 242p price target.


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UK-Analyst.com is owned by t1ps.com Ltd which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority

The hot share tips given here are of necessity, general. They cannot relate to the individual circumstances of investors. Anyone considering following the share tips contained here should seek independent advice from a Financial Services Authority authorised Stockbroker or Financial Adviser. So, while we would not wish to reduce our liability under the FSA regulatory regime, we cannot otherwise be held liable if individuals suffer losses through following share tips contained on this site or emailed out as free share tips. The value of investments can go down as well as up. The past is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investing in shares can lose you part or all of your capital although the potential returns are theoretically unlimited. The difference between the buy share price and the sell share price for smaller company shares (penny shares) can be significant. Profits from dealing in shares may be liable to tax - the level of tax and bases of relief from tax are subject to change. Changes in the rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value or price of an investment in sterling terms if it is denominated in a foreign currency. Financial spread betting is a high risk investment, losses from which are potentially unlimited. Some of the shares recommended on this site will be smaller company shares. By their nature such investments can be relatively illiquid and thus hard to trade. And that makes such investments more of a high risk than larger company shares (or 'small caps'/'penny shares'). UK-Analyst.com defines a smaller company share as any stock traded on AIM or PLUS or which has a market capitalisation of less than GBP300 million.

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