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Monday, June 25, 2012

Vitesse Media (VIS) - Another binary bet and an AIM morality tale writes Tom Winnifrith in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

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Monday 25 June 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

I'd like to live like a poor man with lots of money
- Pablo Picasso


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,477.99

-35.70   -0.65%

FTSE 250

10,774.44

-49.42   -0.46%

FTSE 350

2,907.14

-18.21   -0.62%



FTSE All Share

2,844.20

-17.32   -0.61%

AIM 100

3,007.34

-17.44   -0.58%

AIM All Share

673.02

-2.61   -0.39%


11:55 am

Markets nervous ahead of EU summit

- Shire tumbles after generic ADHD deal gets approval
- Spain officially requests aid
- Investors look to EU summit

The FTSE 100 slipped on Monday morning as investors showed caution ahead of a crucial EU summit later this week; US stocks futures were tracking European markets lower at lunchtime.

Analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari thinks that stocks and other risky assets are likely to "struggle" this week. "There are ongoing concerns that we are still not seeing the tough decisions being made by the Eurozone leaders to get the economies moving again," he said.

Investors will be looking ahead to the crucial European Union summit on June 28-29th, where European leaders will discuss specific steps towards a cross-border banking union, closer fiscal integration and the possibility of a debt redemption fund, according to reports. Investors, nonetheless, are still at a loss over how authorities intend to go about severing the link between banks' and sovereigns' debts.

Spain's Ministry of Economy formally announced its request for "financial assistance for the Spanish banking system" today in a letter sent to Eurogroup President Jean-Claude Juncker. Though no specific amount was requested, independent audits last week revealed that the country's banks would need up to EURO62bn.

In other news, Goldman Sachs chief asset manager Jim O'Neill has warned that worries about Greece pale in comparison to the danger from other peripheral southern European countries such as the third- and fourth-largest economies in the Eurozone, Italy and Spain. "The recent election results in Greece show that the probability of its exit from the euro has considerably diminished. The true problems are Spain and Italy as both are just too big to be ignored", O'Neill said in an interview with the Spanish newspaper El Mundo.

FTSE 100: Shire leads Footsie lower

Shares in pharmaceutical giant Shire tanked after the US Food and Drug Administration approved a rival's application to make a generic version of its attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) drug, Adderall XR.

Also falling was Morrisons after the supermarket group announced that its Finance Director Richard Pennycook is to leave next year to concentrate on building a "portfolio career".

IAG was out of favour on reports that nationalised Spanish bank Bankia and its holding company are preparing to sell most of their corporate shareholdings, including the 12% stake in the airline. IAG said last week that it was open to a rival airline buying the stake owned by Bankia.

Financial stocks were registering losses as investors fled from risk. Banking groups Lloyds, RBS, Standard Chartered and Barclays were out of favour, joined by insurance group Aviva and Aberdeen Asset Management.

Precious metals miner Polymetal was gaining after Nomura upgraded the stock by two notches from 'reduce' to 'buy', saying that "now that Polymetal has passed the FTSE re-weighting, we believe that these [current] levels provide a decent entry point." Sector peer Randgold was also in demand [see below].

SABMiller was lower after Liberum Capital downgraded the stock to 'sell'.

FTSE 250: Gold miners advance on Nomura comments

Gold miners Centamin and Petropavlovsk were benefiting from bullish remarks from Nomura about the gold sector. "Gold remains fundamentally supported by long-term trends", including increasing gold holdings within central bank reserves and strong Chinese demand.

Essar Energy
, the India-focused integrated energy company, was in the red despite saying that the first of two 255MW units at its Vadinar Phase 2 power plant has been synchronised with the transmission grid.

Industrial property specialist Segro fell after selling four "non-core" industrial estates for GBP204.5m.



FTSE 100 - Risers
Polymetal International (POLY) 928.00p +1.59%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 851.00p +1.01%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 5,745.00p +0.97%
Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) 505.50p +0.90%
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,382.00p +0.80%
Kingfisher (KGF) 282.80p +0.53%
Old Mutual (OML) 155.50p +0.52%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,425.00p +0.49%
Wolseley (WOS) 2,262.00p +0.44%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,612.00p +0.37%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,715.00p -12.77%
Aviva (AV.) 267.00p -2.77%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 262.20p -2.31%
Evraz (EVR) 262.40p -2.16%
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) 249.40p -1.85%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,362.00p -1.73%
SABMiller (SAB) 2,462.50p -1.66%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 30.88p -1.62%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 153.80p -1.47%
Barclays (BARC) 197.90p -1.40%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 69.95p +8.37%
Micro Focus International (MCRO) 507.50p +3.89%
Dixons Retail (DXNS) 17.73p +2.72%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 467.50p +2.68%
Ashtead Group (AHT) 258.00p +2.38%
Greene King (GNK) 530.50p +2.12%
Domino's Pizza Group (DOM) 511.00p +2.00%
COLT Group SA (COLT) 125.10p +1.87%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 2,599.00p +1.72%
Spirit Pub Company (SPRT) 49.00p +1.55%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Essar Energy (ESSR) 117.00p -7.00%
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 590.50p -3.75%
Premier Oil (PMO) 328.30p -3.50%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 121.90p -3.48%
International Personal Finance (IPF) 248.00p -3.31%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 167.30p -2.85%
Regus (RGU) 84.40p -2.77%
Ruspetro (RPO) 132.60p -2.64%
Hays (HAS) 72.05p -2.64%
Intermediate Capital Group (ICP) 261.80p -2.42%


ON THE SHARECRAZY BLOG

Vitesse Media (VIS) - Another binary bet and an AIM morality tale writes Tom Winnifrith

Results are out today for the year to 31st January 2012 for AIM listed media group Vitesse (VIS) - a business that never had the scale to justify an AIM quote and which should never have been listed. Its listing has meant stacks of fees for advisers, has justified executive pay which would not have been allowable in a private company and has screwed shareholders consistently over the years. I guess that is AIM in a nutshell.

The pre-tax loss is c.GBP500,000 and the operating loss GBP71,500 with the net cash outflow at GBP96,527. Does this matter? Well it does when you have zero cash at the year end and when trade creditors of GBP1.04 million plus debt of GBP317,000 swamp current assets (of which none is cash) of GBP745,000. Yet the shares are up this morning - BB loons alert!

Click here to read the read of the article


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Avocet Mining: Nomura downgrades from buy to neutral, cuts target from 310p to 220p.

Hardy Oil & Gas: Macquarie upgrades to neutral.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Mobilewave Group

Falkland Oil & Gas

HNR

Worldlink Group

Running trading thread

Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members


BOOK OF THE WEEK

The Hedge Fund Mirage: The Illusion of Big Money and Why It's Too Good to Be True

By Simon Lack

A book review by Luka Lukic of t1ps.com

Hedge funds have always been the talk of the town. Every year we read about the billions paid to top 10 hedge fund managers and investors rush to give their money to them in the hopes of exceptional return. However, in this brutally honest book, industry insider Simon Lack looks to strip away the facade and reveal the cold truth about the profits hedge funds actually make. In the first sentence of the book he writes: "If all the money that's ever been invested in hedge funds had been put in treasury bills instead, the results would have been twice as good." A staggering statement which leads us to question why they have been placed on a pedestal.

Click here to view the rest of the article

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ShareCrazy Poll
Which will be the first country to leave the Euro ?

Germany
Greece
Portugal
Ireland
None will leave

View Results
 
 
 
 



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