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Monday, June 18, 2012

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Monday 18 June 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

Bottoms in the investment world don't end with four-year lows; they end with 10- or 15-year lows
- Jim Rogers


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,497.94

19.13   0.35%

FTSE 250

10,730.96

1.31   0.01%

FTSE 350

2,914.82

8.88   0.31%



FTSE All Share

2,851.03

8.59   0.30%

AIM 100

3,048.86

12.43   0.41%

AIM All Share

676.89

2.31   0.34%


11:37 am

Stocks edge higher despite euro uncertainty

- Markets digest Greek elections
- Spanish bond yields above seven per cent
- Barroso expects coalition to be formed 'swiftly'

An underwhelming outcome to the Greek elections and surging bond yields in Spain saw the Footsie swing between gains and losses on Monday morning; by lunchtime, the blue chip index was slightly higher, albeit only slightly.

There was a brief sigh of relief at the market open with stocks racing ahead on the news that conservative party New Democracy came out as a clear leader in Greece's elections at the weekend, beating far-left party Syriza. It is expected to form a majority coalition with pro-bailout partner Pasok which should be enough to allow the country to remain inside the Eurozone for now.

However, gains were quickly pared with experts saying that that very little has changed. Analysts at UBS have said that the outcome "leaves us as we were, with considerable uncertainty".

Meanwhile, analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said: "If New Democracy and Pasok fail to form a coalition government, this could still open the door for Syriza to form an anti-bailout coalition, or lead to a third round of elections next month. Greece have a bond payment due before that time which could still threaten Greece's position in the Eurozone before a government is formed."

Nevertheless, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said that he expects a coalition to be formed "swiftly" so that discussions can start about helping Greece "turn back to growth."

Turning to Spain, the yield on a 10-year Treasury was up 26.4 basis points at a record 7.138% by midday, a level seen as unsustainable. Investors will be looking ahead to Thursday when the results of the private audit of Spain's financial system are revealed.

FTSE 100: Evraz, Polymetal provide a lift; banks unwanted

Steel giant Evraz was a high riser of the day after Alexander David Securities reiterated its 'buy' recommendation for the stock, while precious metals miner Polymetal was being boosted by an 'overweight' rating from Morgan Stanley. Luxury firm Burberry was making gains despite Deutsche Bank retaining its 'hold' rating.

Leading the downside were the financials with RBS, Lloyds and Barclays among the worst performers. Nomura maintained its 'neutral' view of the UK banking sector this morning, saying that while the initial reaction to last week's new stimulus measures was positive, "we see it more as a trading/short term rally, and a continuation of the volatile price reaction we have seen over the past year."

Supermarket giant Tesco was on the up after clarifying how it will get rid of its underperforming Japanese business as it battles to resume top-line growth in the UK.

In other news, power systems group Rolls-Royce was in demand after signing a submarine contract worth over GBP1bn with the Ministry of Defence. Media giant WPP rose after acquiring a majority stake in Slovakian advertising agency Communication Group.

FTSE 250: Cable & Wireless takeover on as Orbis concedes

Orbis, which owns around a fifth of Cable & Wireless Worldwide stock, said it would not try to block a takeover bid for the firm by Vodafone, boosting shares early on. Despite initially saying the offer of 38p a share was too low, Orbis said it now believed the deal was inevitable.

Engineering buy-out firm Melrose has confirmed speculation that it is in discussions to buy German group Elster, sending shares lower. Reports said the deal could be worth over $2bn, but the firm is so far keeping the terms of any deal to itself.

Diamond producer Gem Diamonds dropped after it revealed that production at its Ghaghoo project in Botswana will commence later than originally expected, as 'adverse ground conditions' resulted in the death of two contractors on site.


FTSE 100 - Risers
Evraz (EVR) 280.60p +3.62%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,353.00p +3.44%
Old Mutual (OML) 151.70p +2.02%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,835.50p +1.97%
Ashmore Group (ASHM) 337.40p +1.93%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 495.90p +1.89%
Polymetal International (POLY) 904.00p +1.86%
Wolseley (WOS) 2,213.00p +1.70%
WPP (WPP) 759.50p +1.67%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 2,981.00p +1.57%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 240.40p -2.91%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 30.67p -2.01%
Aviva (AV.) 264.90p -1.34%
ICAP (IAP) 360.90p -1.26%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,379.00p -0.97%
Schroders (SDR) 1,257.00p -0.95%
Xstrata (XTA) 883.30p -0.86%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 865.00p -0.80%
Glencore International (GLEN) 338.20p -0.66%
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) 247.90p -0.60%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Cable & Wireless Worldwide (CW.) 37.80p +7.91%
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 121.20p +4.94%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 105.40p +4.36%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 2,594.00p +2.94%
Filtrona PLC (FLTR) 452.50p +2.93%
Lonmin (LMI) 780.50p +2.83%
Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH) 486.60p +2.66%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 71.65p +2.58%
Bellway (BWY) 794.00p +2.52%
Dunelm Group (DNLM) 466.20p +2.51%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Petropavlovsk (POG) 465.60p -5.84%
Regus (RGU) 92.10p -5.54%
Grainger (GRI) 82.65p -4.67%
Personal Assets Trust (PNL) 34,460.00p -4.28%
Homeserve (HSV) 147.40p -4.10%
Gem Diamonds Ltd. (DI) (GEMD) 200.70p -3.97%
Barr (A.G.) (BAG) 415.30p -3.82%
SIG (SHI) 93.85p -3.79%
Betfair Group (BET) 757.50p -3.63%
Derwent London (DLN) 1,823.00p -3.34%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Barlcays: AlphaValue downgrades from buy to add, target kept at 230.2p; Nomura keeps neutral rating and 268p target.

Lamprell: JP Morgan Cazenove keeps neutral stance.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Borders & Southern

Falkland Oil & Gas

Avisen

Sabien Technology

Running trading thread

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BOOK OF THE WEEK

The Hedge Fund Mirage: The Illusion of Big Money and Why It's Too Good to Be True

By Simon Lack

A book review by Luka Lukic of t1ps.com

Hedge funds have always been the talk of the town. Every year we read about the billions paid to top 10 hedge fund managers and investors rush to give their money to them in the hopes of exceptional return. However, in this brutally honest book, industry insider Simon Lack looks to strip away the facade and reveal the cold truth about the profits hedge funds actually make. In the first sentence of the book he writes: "If all the money that's ever been invested in hedge funds had been put in treasury bills instead, the results would have been twice as good." A staggering statement which leads us to question why they have been placed on a pedestal.

Click here to view the rest of the article

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ShareCrazy Poll
Which will be the first country to leave the Euro ?

Germany
Greece
Portugal
Ireland
None will leave

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