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Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Malcolm Stacey, Richard III and BP in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

Read Malcolm Stacey, the Market Update, the latest blogs and Broker Recommendations
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Tuesday 5 February
QUOTE OF THE DAY

"An honest tale speeds best, being plainly told".

Richard III (Act IV, Scene IV)


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

6,283.19

36.35  0.58%

FTSE 250

13,198.11

21.09   0.16%

FTSE 350

3,363.79

17.52   0.52%



FTSE All Share

3,295.81

16.88  0.51%

AIM 100

3,293.58

1.76 0.05%

AIM All Share

737.85

-00.8   -0.01%


13:07 pm

THOUGHT FOR THE DAY

By Malcolm Stacey

As Predicted - The Footsie Falls

Hello Share Pushers,

Well, you can’t expect the Footsie to keep rising for ever. Especially given the money situation generally

Spain and Italy still haven’t gone way. The Americans have only kicked their problem down the road. If the Footsie were to keep on going, we would need a very healthy economy. And nobody could possibly suggest that.

CLICK HERE for the full article


ON THE BLOG

AIM needs the ISA – NOW!

By Michael Crockett,

Editor of AimZine – the magazine section of the Investor’s Champion website.

In his Autumn Statement George Osborne said that the government would consult on allowing AIM shares to be held in Stocks and Shares ISAs and most press commentators are expecting that AIM shares will finally be allowed into ISAs, probably in April 2014

Perhaps the government does not think that including AIM shares in ISAs is going to be an important weapon in fighting this “economic equivalent of war”. Let us take a look at some figures and consider the arguments...

CLICK HERE for the full article



THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100 bounces back after sharp sell-off

Well-received results from ARM Holdings and BP and a decent performance from the banking sector helped the FTSE 100 bounce back slightly after Monday's sell-off.

London's benchmark index slumped 100 points yesterday as political uncertainty in the Eurozone dented sentiment: corruption scandals at Spanish Prime Minister (PM) Mariano Rajoy's governing People's Party and rising support for former Italian PM Silvio Berlusconi pushed bond yields in both nations sharply higher.

However, yields in both countries have fallen back slightly today, while borrowing rates on 'safer' assets - such as those in the US, UK, Germany and France - rose strongly as risk appetite increased.

Gains on stock markets were cemented this morning by news that the UK services sector returned to growth in January. The Markit/CIPS service sector gauge rose to the 51.5 point mark during the month of January, well ahead of the previous month's reading of 48.9 and the strongest reading since September. The consensus estimate had been for an increase to 49.5.

"European stock markets are staging a mild recovery [...] following the beat-down in the previous session," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital.

"Traders are picking up some recently battered sectors, particularly banks, however the big question is how long this morning's move to the upside can last?"

FTSE 100: ARM jumps after full-year figures

ARM Holdings reported a 16% rise in profit before tax for the fourth quarter, boosted by demand for the company's processor technology for smartphones and tablet devices. Normalised pre-tax profits for the British semiconductor and software design firm came to £80m for the three months to December 2012, compared to £69m for the same period a year earlier.

Financial services group Hargreaves Lansdown was performing well ahead of its interim results due out on Wednesday. Banks were also on the up with RBS and StanChart making gains.

Even Barclays was in positive territory despite announcing that it has put aside a further £1.0bn for redress in the fourth quarter for mis-selling products

Insurance giant RSA was lower after Nomura downgraded the shares to 'reduce' ahead of the group' results on February 20th. After the stock's outperformance since November, the broker said that it doesn't "think there will be an additional catalyst to push the stock more from here". Admiral rose after the same broker named it as its "top pick" in the non-life insurance sector.

Profits at oil titan BP slipped in the fourth quarter owing to lower upstream production levels, but the company assured that it well-positioned for growth after moving past "many milestones" last year, causing shares to rise this morning. Underlying replacement cost (RC) profit, adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects, totalled $4.0bn in the last three months of 2012, down from $5.0bn a year earlier.

Natural gas firm BG Group was lower after posting a 29% fall in fourth-quarter earnings on the back of a decline in cargo deliveries. Earnings for the last three months of 2012 came to $1.0bn, down from $1.4bn the previous year, primarily as a result of $277 million tax credit in 2011.

FTSE 250: UBM and Victrex lead the fallers

Business published and events organiser UBM was in the red after receiving an offer from Electra Partners to purchase a portfolio of UBM's Data Services businesses, known as 'Delta', for £160m. Nomura kept its 'buy' rating for the stock this morning, but said: "The sale will lead to a dilution of about 11.7% on our estimates, putting the stock at a price-to-earnings ratio of c.13.5x-14x, which could cause short-term weakness before the company begins to provide accretion through events acquisitions, we think."

Polymer manufacturer Victrex was a heavy faller after despite saying that the business is showing "resilience in trading" in spite of continuing global economic challenges. The company said that group sales volumes in the four months to January were up 2.0% year-on-year.

Telecoms group TalkTalk was lower despite saying that it customer base returned to growth for the first time in three years during he third quarter.

Europe-focused industrial property specialist SEGRO gained after completing the disposal of its MPM site in Munich one month earlier than originally planned.

CLICK HERE FOR THE DAY'S FASTEST MOVING STOCKS


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY

Ahead of earnings season for insurance stocks, Nomura has reviewed its coverage on the non-life sub-sector, highlighting Admiral as its top pick whilst upgrading its rating for Direct Line and downgrading RSA.

With Smith & Nephew having reached Panmure Gordon's target price, the broker has downgraded the stock from 'buy' to 'hold' despite it remaining bullish for the group's long-term outlook.

Strong growth in Licensing sales at chip designer ARM Holdings helped the company beat expectations in the fourth quarter, according to Investec.

Alternative Networks: Westhouse Securities downgrades from add to neutral with a target price of 280p.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Condor Resources (CNR) - Breakout ahead?

Bowleven - LSE:BLVN

Huntsworth (HNT)

SABLE MINING AFRICA(SBLM)Formerly Bioenergy Africa

GEOPARK HOLDINGS (GBK)


Click here to discuss shares with other ShareCrazy members


Regards,


ShareCrazy

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ShareCrazy Poll

At what level will the FTSE 100 be at the end of 2013?

Below 5,000
5,001 - 5,500
5,501 - 6,000
6,001 - 6,500
6,501 - 7000
Above 7,000

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The appearance of an advert does not mean that we endorse the advertiser's goods or services. While we will not knowingly run an advert that is untrue, ShareCrazy.com is not responsible for the accuracy of any advertising material or the accuracy of the description of an advertised product or service anywhere on our websites. 

We do not recommend or endorse any vendor/trainer/product/service other than our own. It is up to each member to decide whether what an advertiser offers is right for you. We take every care to ensure that scams and spamming are not run on this website, but we recommend that any purchaser/service user take every precaution possible to satisfy themselves of the authenticity of any service/product purchased and responsibility for this lies solely with the purchaser. 

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