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Thursday, June 7, 2012

Hedging one's bets, writes Malcolm Stacey in the ShareCrazy Dawn Call

Read Malcolm Stacey, Tip of the Day, the Book of the Week, and today's papers
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Wednesday 6 June 2012
THOUGHT FOR THE DAY

I Have Hedges at My House

Hello Share Folk.

I am reading a fairly new book by the thriller writer Robert Harris, author of the best selling Fatherland. This one is called The Fear Index - and its about a hedge fund. And a very good book it is, too.

Now hedge funds make big investments on behalf of rich clients and they do with with confidence because they have safety mechanisms built in. They are never really exposed to big risk - at least that is the theory.

I've just got to the part of the book where the system, which is controlled by computers which seem to think, starts to go wrong.

Click here to view the rest of the article


TIP OF THE DAY

FTSE Special

from top chartist Zak Mir of Zaks-TA.com

BT Group (BT.A) Perhaps a decent near term indicator of technical health as far as leading stocks is whether they bounce on today's rally for the FTSE 100. So far it can be seen that BT Group has not joined in the somewhat unlikely party, with the governing technical feature here being a descending price channel from the beginning of last month capped by the black 200 period moving average. While there is no end of day close back above the 200 period line the downside here could still be towards the one month support line projection towards 195p.

Click here to read the read of the article


Paper Round

Bail-outs, ARM Holdings, House prices

The Government is facing another battle with Brussels after the European Union raised the prospect of cross-border bank bail-outs under wide-ranging reforms to protect taxpayers from a future financial sector collapse. Although the Treasury supported the broad thrust of the reforms, which mirrored those already being introduced in the UK, Michel Barnier, Europe's financial services commissioner, suggested one member state could in future help rescue another's banks under a joint liability plan that would move Europe closer to a "banking union". Treasury sources said that, while the EU's main ideas were "sensible and welcome", "we will want to make sure UK taxpayers are not put into a position of bailing out European banks," The Telegraph explains.

For months they have been described as cash-strapped, hard-pressed, struggling and wary but yesterday Britons suddenly appeared ready to answer calls from Westminster and the City for a consumer-led recovery. After April's high street washout, a month in which retail sales slumped and speculation spread that the Bank of England would have to approve yet more fiscal stimulus for an ailing economy, shoppers reacted to May's heatwave with an unexpected splurge. Spending in stores rose 3.4% in May, according to the BRC-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor, after a 1% decline in April — a slide that, according to the Office for National Statistics, was a 2.3% drop on March figures, The Times reports.

Britain could see more than 1,600 jobs created under a new energy partnership with Norway to be announced by David Cameron, according to Downing Street sources. The bulk of those are expected to come through plans from Norwegian oil services group Aker Solutions to develop its west London offices into an engineering hub, creating 1,300 jobs by 2015. It currently has around 3,100 employees in the UK. More concrete announcements on companies' expansion and investment plans are expected after Mr Cameron and his Norwegian counterpart Jens Stoltenberg on Thursday meet senior executives from ten energy companies, including Aker, National Grid, Centrica, Shell and Norway's state-owned giant Statoil, The Telegraph says.

Acquisitions of foreign companies by UK businesses have fallen to their lowest level in 25 years as corporate Britain takes shelter from the recession and Eurozone crisis. The value of cross-border acquisitions by British businesses tumbled from GBP12.6bn in the fourth quarter of 2011 to just GBP700m in the first quarter of 2012, according to the Office of National Statistics (ONS). This is the lowest quarterly level for acquisitions since the ONS series began in the first quarter of 1987. Bankers blamed the slowdown in deal-making on a combination of factors, the major reason being the uncertainty caused by the Eurozone debt crisis and concerns that it could trigger another banking crisis, according to The Telegraph.

It may be a funny-looking Trojan horse, but Intel won't mind if its latest gadget can successfully open the gate to one of the world's biggest and most exciting technology markets. This week's launch in Britain of the Orange San Diego is more than than merely the unveiling of another lightweight but speedy smartphone. Intel, the company that gave Silicon Valley its name, is hoping to break the stranglehold that Cambridge's ARM Holdings has on chips used to power mobile phones. It has dominated the market for semiconductors used in personal computers for decades, but the American giant has failed to tap into demand for the low-power chips used in small devices. This, then, according to Mike Bell, the head of Intel's mobile and communications division, is a landmark moment, The Times explains.

Huge house price inflation means Britain's property goldmine is worth GBP5.6tn, with almost a third of it stashed in the homes of the South East, according to a new report. But while the paper value of our homes has barely been dented by the financial crisis, the mortgage crunch means Britons are no longer able to use them as the cash machines they once were. Despite low interest rates, much tougher lending conditions mean families can no longer pull money out their homes as they rushed to do in the remortgage boom in the decade before house prices peaked in 2007. Research from property website PrimeLocation claims that there is GBP5.6tn worth of residential property in Britain - although this has been calculated on estate agent asking prices which can be notoriously optimistic, writes The Daily Mail.

A European Union plan to draw closer links between the member nations' regulators to protect taxpayers from bank crises will be published today. European officials want to protect taxpayers from future banking disasters and the proposals from the European Commission will aim to protect everyday banking functions - such as cash machines - and pass any bailout bills onto bank creditors and shareholders in the event that a bank runs into difficulty. The Commission's 156-page draft legislation, to be published today, will suggest giving regulators powers to 'bail in' or force losses onto bondholders of a failing bank so that taxpayers are kept off the hook, and forge closer links between national back-up funds to wind up cross-border lenders, The Daily Mail reports.


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Barclays

CSR

Forte Energy

Range Resources

Running trading thread

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BOOK OF THE WEEK

The truth about IKEA: How IKEA built its global furniture empire

By Johan Stenebo

A book review by Aaron Padgham of t1ps.com

Johan Stenebo was a leading director at IKEA for more than two decades during a period in which it rapidly transformed into a leading flatpack retailer, generated billions of pounds of revenue across 38 countries. Working directly beneath Ingvar Kamprad, owner of the Swedish furniture giant, Stenebo was pivotal in the opening and running of the Leeds store, that soon went on to break company records, and was for some time Kamprad's personal assistant. John left the group in early 2009, after disputes with other members of management, and a few months later this book was released.

Click here to view the rest of the article


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ShareCrazy Poll
Which will be the first country to leave the Euro ?

Germany
Greece
Portugal
Ireland
None will leave

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