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Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Banks and miners fall as risk is scaled back in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

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Wednesday 16 January 2013
QUOTE OF THE DAY

Don't tell me where your priorities are. Show me where you spend your money and I'll tell you what they are
- James W. Frick


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

6,086.37

-30.94   -0.51%

FTSE 250

12,715.09

-59.70   -0.47%

FTSE 350

3,255.96

-16.38   -0.50%



FTSE All Share

3,190.60

-16.19   -0.50%

AIM 100

3,296.32

5.10   0.16%

AIM All Share

734.95

0.05   0.01%


11:47 am

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Banks and miners fall as risk is scaled back

Banking and mining stocks were firmly out of favour on Wednesday morning as risk appetite was scaled back due to concerns over the outlook for global economic growth.

The World Bank has cut its global growth forecast for 2013 due to the difficult recovery that economies worldwide are currently undergoing despite the improvement in financial markets. It now expects growth of 2.4% this year, down from its prior forecast of 3%.

The World Bank forecast cut follows some growth downgrades from Germany yesterday, resulting in a "risk-off tone across Europe amid resurging worries about the global economy", according to market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital.

Further dampening sentiment this morning were comments by Eurogroup chief Jean-Claude Juncker who warned on Tuesday that the euro's recent rally to a 10-month high poses a new threat to the Eurozone even as the region begins to exit the sovereign debt crisis. "The euro foreign-exchange rate is dangerously high," Juncker said.

ETX Capital's Siddqi said: "These warnings combined have all pushed investors to seek out safe-havens such as core government bonds and the US dollar and shun risky assets such commodities, the euro and cyclical stocks."

Meanwhile, fourth-quarter earnings figures due out later from Wall Street banking heavyweights Goldman Sachs (scheduled for 12:30)and JPMorgan Chase (scheduled for noon) further ensured that there was an element of caution in stock markets today.

FTSE 100: Banks, miners bear the brunt of reduced risk appetite

Part-nationalised lenders RBS and Lloyds were registering losses after Bank of England officials said that they need more capital to shore up their balance sheets. Meanwhile, the Daily Mail has said that RBS may be facing the prospect of a £500m fine over its alleged role in the LIBOR interest-rate rigging scandal.

Nomura also said this morning that it prefers Asia-focused banks (HSBC and StanChart) over UK domestic lenders, though it still prefers French and Swiss banks over the UK banking sector in general.

Anglo American was extending losses from yesterday after the restructuring of its platinum operations prompted backlash from South African politicians and unions. The business was hit by fresh strikes at one of its mines today. UBS kept its 'neutral' rating on the stock today, saying that Anglo's "value, EPS momentum/growth, heightened South Africa risk and Minas Rio challenges make the risk/reward less compelling than for other diversified UK miners".

Mining peers Xstrata, Kazakhmys and Glencore were also unwanted this morning. However, EVRAZ bucked the trend after completing the acquisition of a 50% stake in Corber Enterprises, meaning that it has secured an indirect controlling interest in OJSC Raspadskaya. The purchase makes the enlarged group the largest producer of coking coal in Russia.

Telecoms giant Vodafone was being weighed down by a ratings cut by Deutsche Bank from 'buy' to 'hold'. The broker said that there's "little to cheer" about at Vodafone: "We forecast growth deterioration through calendar 2013 with the outlook for financial FY14 set to confirm declining free cash flow (FCF), no further dividend-per-share (DPS) growth and a scaled down buyback to avoid increased leverage."

Also providing a drag on London's blue-chip index was tobacco giant Imperial after going ex-dividend this morning. From today, investors won't be able to tap into the group's latest final dividend payment.

Information services company Experian was doing its best to support the Footise, gaining after posting a 5.0% increase in revenue for the three months to December 31st.



FTSE 100 - Risers
Carnival (CCL) 2,526.00p +2.68%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 348.50p +2.62%
Associated British Foods (ABF) 1,556.00p +1.57%
Shire Plc (SHP) 2,064.00p +1.52%
Experian (EXPN) 1,053.00p +1.45%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 707.00p +1.36%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 798.00p +1.27%
Rexam (REX) 464.20p +0.98%
Unilever (ULVR) 2,428.00p +0.96%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,399.00p +0.94%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,382.00p -4.11%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 52.38p -3.66%
Xstrata (XTA) 1,149.50p -2.83%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 344.40p -2.74%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,910.00p -2.60%
Glencore International (GLEN) 383.00p -2.47%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 765.50p -2.36%
Resolution Ltd. (RSL) 260.50p -2.25%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 159.95p -1.87%
Barclays (BARC) 289.95p -1.84%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Informa (INF) 481.20p +1.88%
Regus (RGU) 111.60p +1.73%
Filtrona PLC (FLTR) 554.50p +1.65%
Betfair Group (BET) 679.00p +1.65%
Genus (GNS) 1,464.00p +1.60%
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) (BKG) 1,846.00p +1.43%
Redrow (RDW) 183.40p +1.21%
Spectris (SXS) 2,011.00p +1.16%
William Hill (WMH) 347.10p +1.11%
Raven Russia Ltd (RUS) 66.20p +0.99%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Lonmin (LMI) 326.60p -5.61%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 288.60p -4.12%
ITE Group (ITE) 240.50p -4.03%
Dixons Retail (DXNS) 26.18p -3.71%
EnQuest (ENQ) 119.30p -3.71%
Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 313.10p -3.66%
Senior (SNR) 198.60p -3.55%
Diploma (DPLM) 519.00p -3.53%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 55.20p -3.50%
Taylor Wimpey (TW.) 72.60p -3.26%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Anglo American: Goldman Sachs reduces target price from 1650p to 1500p and reiterates its sell recommendation.

Fenner: Investec shifts target price from 415p to 420p, while retaining a hold rating.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

FREE SHARE TIP OF THE DAY

Quindell Portfolio - Further Positive News Flow

  • Quindell Portfolio, the leading supplier of software, consulting and outsourcing services within the insurance and telecoms sectors, has announced the completion of several key acquisitions and a positive trading update.
  • Management stated on 18th December that it expects preliminary results for FY2012 to be significantly ahead of market expectations and confirmed that trading in Q4 2012 was continuing positively.
  • Furthermore, Quindell has also received approval from the SRA to operate as an ABS for legal services.
  • We are encouraged by Quindell's continual positive news flows, and as such we reiterate our stance of buy and upgrade our target price to 32p from 30p.


Click here to read the rest of the article


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

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Thomas Cook Group

Barratt Developments

Ferrex

GKN

The Running Trading Thread

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The appearance of an advert does not mean that we endorse the advertiser's goods or services. While we will not knowingly run an advert that is untrue, ShareCrazy.com is not responsible for the accuracy of any advertising material or the accuracy of the description of an advertised product or service anywhere on our websites. 

We do not recommend or endorse any vendor/trainer/product/service other than our own. It is up to each member to decide whether what an advertiser offers is right for you. We take every care to ensure that scams and spamming are not run on this website, but we recommend that any purchaser/service user take every precaution possible to satisfy themselves of the authenticity of any service/product purchased and responsibility for this lies solely with the purchaser. 

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