Kumaresan Selvaraj pillai


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Wednesday, January 16, 2013

| 01.16.13 | Goldman Sachs reports strong Q4 results

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January 16, 2013
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Today's Top Stories
1. Goldman Sachs reports strong Q4 results
2. Banks struggle with net interest margin compression
3. Dell tries to save private equity market
4. Banker's stake in Armstrong doping scandal
5. JPMorgan struggles to forget the London Whale

Also Noted: Opal Financial Group
Spotlight On... Bond funds embrace longer durations
Broadband Research head gets jail term; Cynicism over JPMorgan report and much more...

News From the Fierce Network:
1. New BYOD security issues
2. Data visability key to compliance
3. Companies must review 10b5-1 plans


Sponsor: RSA Conference 2013

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Events

> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012
> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London
> ABA Insurance Risk Management Forum - February 3-6 - Orlando, FL
> CLEAN-TECH INVESTOR SUMMIT - February 6-7, 2013 - Palm Springs, CA
> RSA? Conference 2013 - Feb 25 ? Mar 1 - San Francisco, CA
> ABA Wealth Management and Trust Conference 2013 - March 3-5 - New Orleans, LA
> NYIF Mergers & Acquisition Program - March 4-8 - New York, NY
> Investment Consultants Forum - March 4 - New York, NY - Crowne Plaza Times Square
> NYIF Derivatives: Strategies, Trading & Valuation Program - April 8 - May 3 - New York, NY

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Today's Top News

1. Goldman Sachs reports strong Q4 results

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Goldman Sachs is back to being the Goldman Sachs of old.

It hit on all cylinders in the fourth quarter of 2012, which resulted in a stellar earnings report. The top line result suggests that the bank is getting back to its growth days. Net revenues were $9.2 billion, a 53 percent rise year-over-year. As for earnings, the bank reported $5.60 in diluted earnings per share, which trounced analysts' expectations of about $3.80 a share. The resu

lts were solid across the board.

In FICC activity, net revenues were $2.04 billion for, up 50 percent year over year; strong net revenues in credit products and mortgages were offset partly by commodities and interest rate products. In investment banking, net revenues were up 64 percent year over year, powered by strong advisory activity, reflecting more mergers and acquisition activity.

Underwriting was also strong. Returning to a past strength, the bank reported some merchant-banking-like gains, notably a gain of $334 million from the firm's investment in ICBC and net gains of $789 million from other investments. On top of all this, the bank was able to hold the line on compensation expenses. Goldman set aside 37.9 percent of 2012 annual revenue for compensation, compared with 42.4 percent in 2011.

Unsurprisingly, Mr. Market liked what it saw and bid the stock up on the news.

For more:
- here are the results

Related articles:
All eyes on fourth quarter bank earnings
Jefferies as an early warning system
 

Read more about: Goldman Sachs, earnings
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Attend RSA Conference 2013 Feb 25 - Mar 1 in San Francisco. Register by Jan. 25 and save $400.



2. Banks struggle with net interest margin compression

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Net interest margins about the banking industry intensified late last year.

Accommoding monetary policy was pushing rates lower, posing all manner of balance sheet issues. Wells Fargo was one of the banks that was seen as vulnerable. Those fears were borne out by the bank's fourth quarter results, which showed that the bank's now closely watched net interest margin fell more than expected, to 3.56 percent from 3.89 percent a year ago and 3.66 percent in the third quarter.

A five basis point sequential decline would have been good news, but 10 points is just too much. Late last year, the big issues were the imminent run-off of higher-yielding securities and a relative slowdown in write-ups of once-toxic assets.

Right now, the bigger issue for Wells Fargo and the entire industry is the slow growth of lending. Wells Fargo loan-to-deposit ratio stands at about 80 percent, which historically low. The ratio has declined to about 72 percent from 95 percent in 2007 industry-wide. At the same time, the recent mortgage activity gains that powered earnings may dry up just a bit, which would be more bad news for the industry.

It would be nice if the industry found ways to put the flow of deposits to work, but thatt's not going to happen immediately.

For more:
- here's a Barron's article

Related articles:
Wells Fargo faces tougher road ahead
What are banks to do in a low rate environment?
 

Read more about: banks, Wells Fargo
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3. Dell tries to save private equity market

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Michael Dell has found himself under enormous pressure to raise the value of his shares, and he has been open in the past to taking the company public.

Given that he owns more than 15 percent of the company, you have to take the rumors that he will take the company private seriously. It strikes me as a trial balloon.  Dell has apparently opened talks with private equity firms Silver Lake and TPG about a transaction that would get the year off to a fabulous start for the private equity industry.

"Based on Dell's market value as of Jan. 11, a deal could be at least the largest buyout of a technology company since 2007, when KKR & Co. bought First Data Corp. for more than $25 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It could also be the largest acquisition in the computer industry since Hewlett-Packard bought Compaq Computer Corp. for about $19 billion in 2002, the data show," notes Bloomberg.

All computer makers rallied on the news. The notion that Dell would consider a leveraged buyout has undergirded the stock for a while now.  For some, it has been the single best reason to own the stock. The big question is whether the firms could get a deal that could be valued at more than $20 billion actually consummated. That's not a given right now. Fortune suggests that it may take three firms, at least.

For more: 
- here's the article



 

Read more about: Leveraged Buyout
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4. Banker's stake in Armstrong doping scandal

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Lance Armstrong may be about to come clean about his doping allegations. And that has enormous implications for financier Thomas Weisel, who has been among his biggest supporters.

Weisel was an owner of the United States Postal Service Pro Cycling Team and "could be subject along with his partners to lawsuits from corporate sponsors seeking millions of dollars. Already, there is a False Claims Act case contending that Mr. Armstrong and the team defrauded the Postal Service," notes DealBook.

But the more salacious issue involves the actual doping. The media have reported that Armstrong, as part of his bid to return to legitimacy, will not only cop to using the performance-enhancing drugs. In addition, he is in negotiations with the Justice Department "to possibly testify in a federal whistle-blower case against several team officials and owners, including Mr. Weisel."

He was quoted years ago by the Wall Street Journal on the issue of doping saying that, "Handle the problem below the surface and keep the image of the sport clean. In the U.S. sports — baseball, basketball, football — most fans couldn't care less."

Weisel was certainly passionate about the team, and the sport. It could end in ignominy. Weisel has a lot riding on what Armstrong says and does over the next year.

For more:
- here's the article
- Weisel has long cropped up in rumors about the drug scandal



 

 

Read more about: Thomas Weisel, Lance Armstrong
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5. JPMorgan struggles to forget the London Whale

By Jim Kim Comment | Forward | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

It's been about eight months since JPMorgan Chase CEO was forced to admit that a "hedging" ploy went horribly wrong, ultimately costing the bank $6.2 billion.

The bank booked the losses and consumed humble pie in public. Jamie Dimon seemed eventually regained his grove as an arch-influential banker and CEO. But the consequences of those ill-fated trades are still being felt.

The OCC has just issued an expected cease-and-desist order that will force the bank to redouble its compliance and risk management efforts to ensure that such "hedging" lapses do not recur. Some see this as little more than a slap on the wrist. In addition, the bank will also release a report this week, most likely Wednesday, that it hopes will be the definitive word on the issue.

I noted recently that the Dimon himself faces clawbacks due to the incident, one that threatens his status as the top-paid banker on Wall Street. Other executive have already faced clawbacks.

I can only hope that all this blows over again quickly. The fourth-quarter results may well represent an opportunity to switch the subject. Lost in the London Whale discussion, the bank was also hit with a cease and desist order that forces it to beef up its AML compliance initiatives, yet another area in which the bank's reputation has been sullied.

For more:
- here's a Forbes overview

Related articles:
Jamie Dimon faces compensation clawback at JP Morgan
Jamie Dimon regains his footing
 

Read more about: CEO
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Also Noted

This week's sponsor is Opal Financial Group.

SPOTLIGHT ON... Bond funds embrace longer durations

In an extremely low-rate environment, the bond buy-side will be tempted to invest in risker fare. Banksand some bond funds are alerady doing that, notes Fortune. "The average duration of intermediate bond funds is four and a half years, which is up slightly from two years ago. For long-term bond funds it's nine years, up from just over seven and a half two years ago." There's a lot of debate as to what constitutes "overly risky" in this environment. Article

Company News: 
> Broadband Research head gets jail term. Article
> Goldman Sachs to pay bonuses in U.K. as planned. Article
> Cynicism over JPMorgan report. Article
> MBIA interest payment blocked. Article
> Deutsche Bank commodity head to step down. Article
> Jefferies to offer bonds. Article
> Thomas Weisel might face charges in doping scandal. Article
Industry News:
> Fund managers more bullish now. Article
> Herbalife: Both sides win. Article
> Dell buyout debate continues. Article
Regulatory News:
> Regulators eye dark pools. Article
> Big fight against disclosure rule. Article
And Finally…Walmart pledges to hire vets. Article


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Events


* Post listing: Click here.
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> Investment Consultants Forum - The Crowne Plaza Times Square, New York, NY - March 2, 2012

This conference provides a unique environment for developing dialogue between plan sponsors, managers and consultants. This event will feature panel-driven discussions focused on specific investment techniques of fixed income and hedge fund managers, the evolving role of institutional consultants, the manager evaluation process and more. Register today.

> NFC Ticketing Europe 2012 - March 20-21 - London

Come and join MasterCard, Renfe, Deutsche Bahn, Visa Europe, Orange, Arriva Netherlands, O2 and many more for the first event to bring together the whole NFC Ticketing industry for discussion, debate and quality networking. Click here.

> ABA Insurance Risk Management Forum - February 3-6 - Orlando, FL

Top insurance risk managers from around the world lead strategic and tactical sessions to provide tools, knowledge and contacts to effectively structure your bank’s insurance coverage. Attend to navigate bank insurance risks today and prepare for the uncertainties ahead. Preview program now online.

> CLEAN-TECH INVESTOR SUMMIT - February 6-7, 2013 - Palm Springs, CA

Clean-Tech Investor Summit convenes the “who’s-who” and is one of the rare times when influential thought leaders, such as John McDonald of Chevron and Arun Majumdar of Google.com, gather to discuss critical issues facing the cleantech sector. Save $500 (code CTFIERCE). www.cleantechsummit.com.

> RSA? Conference 2013 - Feb 25 ? Mar 1 - San Francisco, CA

Mastering data to secure the world. Is understanding and securing big data an industry game changer? Secure your seat Feb 25 – Mar 1 in San Francisco to find out. You'll access 275+ expert-led sessions spanning 22 technical tracks (including new 20- and 60-minute session formats), unprecedented networking and a not-to-be-missed closing keynote. Register Now >>

> ABA Wealth Management and Trust Conference 2013 - March 3-5 - New Orleans, LA

Make uncertain times the best of times. At the ABA Wealth Management and Trust Conference, you’ll hear the latest in practice management to help you build your business despite a challenging market. Learn more at aba.com/WMT. To receive conference updates, click here.

> NYIF Mergers & Acquisition Program - March 4-8 - New York, NY

This five-day program provides participants with the concepts and theories of mergers and acquisitions, as well as the structuring of a deal through hands-on examination of the key components of a transaction. In addition, the Free Cash Flow module covers cash flow drivers, cost of capital, capital budgeting, and acquisition analysis using free cash flow - all important issues in merger and acquisition activity. The final day covers accounting topics specific to business combinations often excluded in general financial accounting courses. Register today.

> Investment Consultants Forum - March 4 - New York, NY - Crowne Plaza Times Square

Opal Financial Group's investment consultants conference provides a unique environment for developing dialogue between plan sponsors, managers and consultants. This event will feature panel-driven discussions focused on specific investment techniques of fixed income and hedge fund managers, the evolving role of institutional consultants, the manager evaluation process, transition management, investing in global markets, and more. Register Now!

> NYIF Derivatives: Strategies, Trading & Valuation Program - April 8 - May 3 - New York, NY

In this program, participants develop their expertise in one of the most rapidly growing areas in international finance. Derivative instruments describe the basics of swaps, caps, floors, forward rate agreements, captions and swaptions. This program explores hedging from both a micro and macro perspective, sophisticated off-balance sheet activities and their effect on bank capital standards, and mastering pricing, including direct versus synthetic pricing. Register today.



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