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Friday, December 21, 2012

Risk appetite scaled back on 'fiscal cliff' fears in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

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Friday 21 December 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

The only reason to have money is to tell any SOB in the world to go to hell
- Humphrey Bogart


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,918.47

-39.87   -0.67%

FTSE 250

12,318.25

-104.52   -0.84%

FTSE 350

3,164.52

-22.07   -0.69%



FTSE All Share

3,099.89

-21.38   -0.69%

AIM 100

3,068.61

-35.99   -1.16%

AIM All Share

689.64

-4.79   -0.69%


11:51 am

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Risk appetite scaled back on 'fiscal cliff' fears

On the last full day of trading before the Christmas holiday, there was little evidence of a 'Santa Rally' on the FTSE 100 with worries about the 'fiscal cliff' Stateside providing a drag on the market.

"This week will likely be remembered for the US fiscal cliff hanging over the markets and investors' sentiment being pulled back and forth as snippets of news, or lack of news regarding the cliff, dominated the markets," said financial trader Shavaz Dhalla from Spreadex.

Last night, Republican House speaker John Boehner was forced to withdraw his "Plan B" for dealing with the fiscal cliff due to a lack of support in the House of Representatives.

Boehner had thought that the Republican majority in the lower house would be enough to push through his proposal to avoid the impending automatic spending cuts and increase in taxes despite opposition from President Barack Obama and Democrats.

However, hard-line Republicans refused to support concessions on tax increases that left Boehner's plan with insufficient votes to push the measure through even through just the House.

"Thus, it is now highly unlikely that a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff will be reached before Christmas and the real fear hanging over the market, is that a deal may not be reached at all," Dhalla said.

Further dampening the mood this morning was the news that UK gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter expanded at a 0.9% rate from the preceding three months. This final estimate was worse the initial 1% increase forecasted.

Two surveys of consumer confidence also disappointed this morning: the GfK consumer confidence survey in the UK fell from -22 to -29 in December, missing the -25 forecast; while the forward-looking German GfK survey fell from 5.8 to 5.6 for January, missing the 5.9 estimate.

Meanwhile, the Chinese MNI flash business sentiment indicator fell from 53.78 to 52.23 in November.

FTSE 100: Risk appetite wanes


Miners and financial stocks were bearing the brunt of the bearish mood this morning as investors cut positions in riskier assets on concerns over the US economy. EVRAZ, Barclays and Fresnillo were among the worst performers by midday.

ENRC was being weighed down by a ratings cut by Goldman Sachs to 'neutral' this morning. Meanwhile, insurance giant Aviva fell after selling Aviva USA Corporation - its life, annuities and asset management business - to life insurance holding company Athene Holiding for $1.8bn.

Even Xstrata was under the weather despite saying that it is set to boost ore production by a further third at its Lady Loretta mine in north-west Queensland, Australia.

BAE Systems fell despite signing a £2.5bn deal with the government of Oman to supply of Typhoon and Hawk Advanced JetTrainer aircraft. This comes two days after the company warned that full-year underlying earnings could be hit by three pence per share if it cannot agree on pricing on a large Saudi Arabian Typhoon aircraft contract.

Water providers Severn Trent, United Utilities and Pennon were making gains after regulator Ofwat backed down over changes to water company licences.

Carnival was a high riser too, rebounding after a heavy fall yesterday when the cruise company reported a fall in full-year revenues after what it called its most challenging year ever.



FTSE 100 - Risers
Carnival (CCL) 2,458.00p +2.80%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,592.00p +1.47%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 681.50p +1.11%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 6,015.00p +0.84%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 266.00p +0.53%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,122.00p +0.39%
Tesco (TSCO) 339.75p +0.34%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,197.00p +0.34%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 186.60p +0.32%
Aggreko (AGK) 1,747.00p +0.29%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Evraz (EVR) 255.00p -4.49%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,353.00p -2.28%
Barclays (BARC) 261.10p -2.14%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 731.50p -2.08%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,841.00p -1.97%
Whitbread (WTB) 2,472.00p -1.94%
Melrose Industries (MRO) 227.20p -1.94%
BAE Systems (BA.) 341.40p -1.90%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 969.00p -1.82%
Prudential (PRU) 879.50p -1.79%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 290.40p +2.98%
FirstGroup (FGP) 208.80p +2.45%
Halfords Group (HFD) 341.60p +2.37%
Rank Group (RNK) 147.50p +2.36%
Telecity Group (TCY) 791.00p +2.00%
Wetherspoon (J.D.) (JDW) 539.50p +1.98%
Regus (RGU) 107.00p +1.90%
St. Modwen Properties (SMP) 228.30p +1.65%
Menzies(John) (MNZS) 629.00p +1.45%
Redrow (RDW) 164.00p +1.42%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Home Retail Group (HOME) 128.60p -4.46%
Soco International (SIA) 341.50p -3.83%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 41.10p -3.77%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 30.61p -3.59%
Dairy Crest Group (DCG) 379.70p -3.53%
Ruspetro (RPO) 74.10p -3.20%
Spectris (SXS) 1,988.00p -3.02%
Taylor Wimpey (TW.) 64.70p -2.93%
Man Group (EMG) 84.00p -2.89%
Hiscox Ltd. (HSX) 453.00p -2.79%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
ITV: Panmure Gordon has said it foresees 'material upside' for the terrestrial broadcaster in the New Year, as it reiterated its 'buy' rating and 140p target price for the stock.

Vodafone: Nomura has kept its 'neutral' rating for the telecoms group, saying that the costs from last week's Dutch spectrum auction raise more questions of the company's 'inflated' dividend.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

TODAY'S TIP ON SHARECRAZY

TMT Investments - Further Demonstrating Its Investment Ability

A report from GECR

  • TMT Investments has increased the value of its investment in video content distribution platform Virool by 25%, to $500,000, in fewer than 4 months following the conversion of its convertible promissory note into preferred shares.
  • We are pleased by this announcement as it represents an impressive return in a short period of time, and demonstrates TMT's ability to identify highly attractive, early stage investments.
  • The venture capitalist also recently increased its investment in Ninua by a further $200,000 and announced that the social internet application software developer has made some exciting progress with its mainstream Networkedblogs.com product and is ready to intensify its monetisation efforts.
  • Given all the progress made so far, we remain confident that TMT Investments has the long-term potential to generate an attractive rate of return for shareholders.

Click here to view the full article


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Enterprise Inns

Pace

Caza

Ocado

The Running Trading Thread

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ShareCrazy Poll
At what price will GOLD be at the end of 2012?
Below $1,400
$1,400 - $1,599
$1,600 - $1,799
$1,800 - $1,999
Above $2,000

 
 
 
 



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We do not recommend or endorse any vendor/trainer/product/service other than our own. It is up to each member to decide whether what an advertiser offers is right for you. We take every care to ensure that scams and spamming are not run on this website, but we recommend that any purchaser/service user take every precaution possible to satisfy themselves of the authenticity of any service/product purchased and responsibility for this lies solely with the purchaser. 

The appearance of an advert does not mean that we endorse the advertiser's goods or services. While we will not knowingly run an advert that is untrue, ShareCrazy.com is not responsible for the accuracy of any advertising material or the accuracy of the description of an advertised product or service anywhere on our websites. 

We do not recommend or endorse any vendor/trainer/product/service other than our own. It is up to each member to decide whether what an advertiser offers is right for you. We take every care to ensure that scams and spamming are not run on this website, but we recommend that any purchaser/service user take every precaution possible to satisfy themselves of the authenticity of any service/product purchased and responsibility for this lies solely with the purchaser. 

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