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Friday, December 7, 2012

Markets cautious ahead of US jobs report, plus today's brokers, in the ShareCrazy Morning Market View

Read the Market Update, Tip of the Day, the Book of the Week, and Broker Recommendations
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Friday 7 December 2012
QUOTE OF THE DAY

Leadership is a potent combination of strategy and character. But if you must be without one, be without the strategy
- Norman Schwarzkopf


THIS MORNING IN LONDON

FTSE 100

5,892.13

-9.29   -0.16%

FTSE 250

12,133.73

-15.50   -0.13%

FTSE 350

3,145.93

-4.83   -0.15%



FTSE All Share

3,080.69

-4.63   -0.15%

AIM 100

3,072.66

-11.32   -0.37%

AIM All Share

688.61

-1.24   -0.18%


11:53 am

Markets cautious ahead of US jobs report

The FTSE 100 was trading within a tight range on Friday morning as caution set in ahead of the eagerly-anticipated US employment report later today.

However, providing a drag on sentiment this morning was newsflow from Germany: the Bundesbank now expects just 0.4% growth in the economy next year, down from its previous prediction in June for a 1.6% expansion.

"Reaction to the news - whilst predictably negative - has been notably calm, as traders take the view that policy makers will now be forced to pump liquidity into the markets short term," said market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets.

Meanwhile, economic data from the UK failed to boost the mood, with both industrial production and manufacturing production figures missing the mark this morning, declining by more than forecast in October.

"Despite [the UK data], the UK's FTSE 100 is not too far from attempting another assault on the 5900 level, a key target for further upside momentum - today's US jobs data may provide the push as the outcome is unlikely to dramatic push markets lower," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital.

The US employment report is due out at 08:30 in New York (13:30 London time). Consensus estimates are for a 90,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in November, much worse than the 171,000 increase seen in October. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 7.9%.

However, many factors are expected to have thrown up headwinds over the last month, including: an early Thanksgiving which could have distorted hiring patterns for retailers; the looming 'fiscal cliff' which could hold back recruitment until the New Year; and by no means least, Hurricane Sandy.

FTSE 100: Defensives do their best to bolster the Footsie


Defensive stocks, such as those in the utilities, tobacco and pharmaceuticals categories, were performing well today, as they benefited from risk aversion which has put a dent in the mining sect this morning. Centrica, Imperial Tobacco and Shire were among the best performers.

Commodities trader and mining giant Glencore was trading lower despite receiving the approval from the Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China for its acquisition of Viterra, the final regulatory green light needed to take over the Canadian agribusiness. Sector peers Xstrata, ENRC and Antofagasta joined Glencore in the red.

Associated British Foods was in demand after its Chairman said at today's AGM that trading for the first two months of the new financial year has been "good", driven mainly be its Primark division "where the momentum that delivered the strong finish to last year has continued."

Marks & Spencer was pulling back after a strong rise on Thursday. Market rumours yesterday linked retail tycoon Sir Philip Green to a possible bid for the High Street giant, as speculation followed Green's sale of a 25% stake in Top Shop last week. However an Arcadia spokesperson denied such speculation yesterday when questioned by Sharecast.

Sweeteners and food products giant Tate & Lyle was in demand after agreeing to a £347m partial pensioner buy-in which covers nearly half of its total pensioner liabilities. The firm said that the trustee of the its group pension scheme has made the agreement with financial services giant Legal & General about the buy-in which covers around 43% of its commitments, "which effectively hedges these liabilities in full".

FTSE 250:Berkeley jumps after strong first half

House builder Berkeley Group jumped early on after seeing revenue and profit surge in the first half, as it declared an interim dividend of 15p per share, compared with nil the year before. Revenue increased 69.4% and pre-tax profit rose 40.7% in the six months to October 31st.

Sector peer Bellway fell despite reporting a 6% rise in reservations to around 100 per week in the 18 weeks ended November 30th, as a result of an improvement to customers' ability to access higher loan-to-value mortgage finance.


FTSE 100 - Risers
Centrica (CNA) 340.10p +2.56%
Experian (EXPN) 1,050.00p +1.35%
Diageo (DGE) 1,879.00p +1.35%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,888.00p +1.29%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,509.00p +0.97%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,434.00p +0.95%
Associated British Foods (ABF) 1,488.00p +0.88%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 1,003.00p +0.65%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,272.50p +0.63%
SSE (SSE) 1,438.00p +0.56%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Xstrata (XTA) 1,021.00p -1.97%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 171.20p -1.83%
GKN (GKN) 221.50p -1.42%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 1,318.00p -1.42%
Glencore International (GLEN) 341.10p -1.33%
Marks & Spencer Group (MKS) 392.80p -1.26%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,482.50p -1.20%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,790.50p -1.19%
ITV (ITV) 101.90p -1.07%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 297.20p -1.03%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) (BKG) 1,716.00p +4.00%
Supergroup (SGP) 624.50p +3.82%
NMC Health (NMC) 177.20p +3.63%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 96.05p +3.17%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 439.20p +2.98%
Synthomer (SYNT) 191.00p +2.69%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 127.90p +2.32%
Ruspetro (RPO) 84.50p +1.81%
AZ Electronic Materials SA (DI) (AZEM) 375.30p +1.71%
RPS Group (RPS) 209.10p +1.70%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Petropavlovsk (POG) 318.70p -3.86%
Invensys (ISYS) 317.10p -3.32%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 30.82p -3.14%
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 407.40p -2.77%
Savills (SVS) 463.00p -2.61%
Man Group (EMG) 74.50p -2.61%
Rathbone Brothers (RAT) 1,202.00p -2.36%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 263.70p -2.33%
Kier Group (KIE) 1,189.00p -1.98%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 707.50p -1.94%


WHAT THE BROKERS SAY
Berkeley Group: Panmure Gordon raises target price from 1390p to 1650p keeping a hold rating.

Rio Tinto: HSBC raises target price from 3520p to 3620p, while maintaining an overweight rating.

Click here for the rest of the broker recommendations

TODAY'S TIP ON SHARECRAZY

Quindell Portfolio - Significant contract wins and new partnerships

A report by GECR

  • Quindell Portfolio, the leading supplier of software, consulting and outsourcing services within the insurance and telecoms sectors, has announced further significant contract wins.
  • Quindell has converted a number of pilot projects into full contracts that should deliver run-rate revenues in excess of £80 million pa once fully implemented in 2013.
  • As a result of developments announced, we have upgraded our 2013 forecasts materially, and we now expected adjusted EPS of 2.2p.
  • Our target price has been upgraded by 2p to 30p, however we see value of up to 60p based on 2013 numbers.
  • We re-iterate our stance of Buy.

Click here to view the full article


THE LATEST ON THE CRAZY BOARD

The top 5 hot company threads on the Bulletin Board:

Leyshon Resources

1Spatial

Baobob

Goldplat

The Running Trading Thread

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ShareCrazy Poll
At what price will GOLD be at the end of 2012?
Below $1,400
$1,400 - $1,599
$1,600 - $1,799
$1,800 - $1,999
Above $2,000

 
 
 
 



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