Kumaresan Selvaraj pillai


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Monday, March 19, 2012

Technical Precious Metals Report

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Monday March 19 , 2012 06:45 GMT
Gold


Weekly Report

Gold inclined after reaching areas between 1656.00 and 1624.00, where these levels might be -as we mentioned previously- the potential reversal zone that represents the (D) point of the bullish 0-5 harmonic pattern and also the completion point of the BC leg of the bearish 0-5 harmonic pattern. The different types of patterns seen don’t negate the possibility of an upside move this week, where the bearish 0-5 harmonic pattern is currently forcing upside pressures on the metal to form the CD leg, while the bullish 0-5 harmonic pattern also might trigger an upside move. In result, any trading above 1624.00 suggests the continuity of the upside move this week, noting that a breach of 1598.00 is sufficient to negate our positive outlook.

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1590.00 and key resistance now at 1735.00

The short-term trend is to the upside with steady weekly closing above 1475.00 targeting 1945.00.

***New York Candlesticks***

Previous Report



Support1656.001650.001642.001638.001624.00

Resistance1673.001681.001688.001694.001703.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying gold around 1656.00, targeting 1688.00, 1694.00 and 1703.00 and stop loss with 4-hour closing below 1624.00 might be appropriate.


Silver


Weekly Report

Silver is still affected by the bullish Butterfly harmonic pattern, but we cannot ignore the fact that the metal failed several times to settle above 32.85, which represents the neckline of a bearish technical structure. Momentum indicators are positive, but Stochastic is almost within overbought areas which limits the positivity. Therefore, trading between 31.25 and 32.85 creates technical conflict between harmonic and classic signs. We remain neutral in our weekly report, but we recommend tracking our next reports for more confirmations.

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 30.30 and key resistance now at 34.40.

The short-term trend is to the downside with steady weekly closing below 38.00 targeting 20.05.

***New York Candlesticks***

Previous Report



Support32.4531.7531.2530.8530.30

Resistance32.8533.0033.2033.7534.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above, we remain neutral awaiting more confirmations


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