Kumaresan Selvaraj pillai


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Sunday, October 23, 2011

Technical Precious Metals Report

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Monday October 24 , 2011 04:48 GMT
Gold


Weekly Report 24/10 – 28/ 10/ 2011

 

As we mentioned in our previous report, trading below the lower line of Keltner channel is considered to be an oversold signal; thus, the metal retraced from 1610.00 zones as seen on the provided daily graph. Now, the bullishness on Stochastic may cause a retest for the previous broken SMA 100 -colored in green- where it will also retest the previous broken support line for the minor rising wedge pattern before moving downwards once more, supported by the major double top structure that still has downside targets to be reached. Only a breakout with a daily closing above the neckline areas around 1702.00 will damage the bearish outlook and will make us reconsider the technical target of the aforesaid classical negativity. 

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 1533.00 and key resistance now at 1728.00.

The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing.

Previous Report



Support1635.001627.001615.001590.001575.00

Resistance1653.001665.001673.001687.001702.00

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1665.00 targeting 1595.00 and stop loss above 1702.00 might be appropriate.


Silver


Weekly Report 24/10 – 28/ 10/ 2011

 

The metal is still trading sideways between 29.10 and 33.25, but with a closer look, we find the pair is also trading sideways inside the triangle formation between the support at 30.10 and the resistance at 32.80. Furthermore, the Moving Average 50 as shown on the hourly interval (New York Candlesticks) represents a resistance level, while Stochastic is within overbought areas, which support the bearishness. But on the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is positive and breached the 50-point level, while we recognize an ascending channel over hourly basis, where these signs support the bullishness. Therefore, according to the technical conflict we remain neutral in our weekly report.

The trading range for this week is among the key support at 28.40 and key resistance now at 33.70.

The short-term trend is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact.

Previous Report



Support31.4531.2530.7530.1029.15

Resistance32.0032.3032.5030.8033.25

RecommendationBased on the charts and explanations above, we remain neutral today, awaiting more confirmation.


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